Match

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs VfL Wolfsburg: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, Fürth

SpVgg Greuther FürthVfL Wolfsburg

The Footlab AI model makes VfL Wolfsburg the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth. The most likely score is 1-1. If VfL Wolfsburg wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,484 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs VfL Wolfsburg?

VfL Wolfsburg starts as the favourite with a 170-point Elo edge (2,069 vs 1,899).

28%25%47%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth winDrawVfL Wolfsburg win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs VfL Wolfsburg

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

4-2-3-1
  1. 42O. Sillah
  1. 13P. Will
  2. 30F. Klaus
  3. 10Ole Pohlmann
  4. 6S. Bansé
  5. 8S. Appelkamp
  1. 22J. Heuer
  2. 34Hendry Aron Blank
  3. 27G. Itter
  4. 23J. Dehm
  1. 1Florian Hellstern

VfL Wolfsburg

4-2-3-1
  1. 19R. Glatzel
  1. 5Vinicius Souza
  2. 20M. Damar
  3. 17A. Bernhardsson
  4. 11F. Reese
  5. 27M. Arnold
  1. 21J. Mæhle
  2. 6H. Wahl
  3. 33Cleiton
  4. 26S. Kumbedi
  1. 1T. Wellenreuther

Computed on November 4, 2026 at 11:04 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SpVgg Greuther Fürth have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; VfL Wolfsburg have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Holstein Kiel(home)1-02. Bundesliga
Oct 25, 2026VfL Osnabrück(away)0-32. Bundesliga
Oct 17, 2026Eintracht Braunschweig(home)2-02. Bundesliga
Oct 11, 2026Hertha BSC(away)1-22. Bundesliga
Oct 1, 2026VfB Stuttgart(away)0-5Friendlies Clubs
VfL Wolfsburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026VfL Osnabrück(home)2-02. Bundesliga
Oct 28, 2026SC Freiburg(away)2-3DFB Pokal
Oct 23, 2026VfL Bochum(away)1-12. Bundesliga
Oct 17, 20261. FC Heidenheim(home)3-12. Bundesliga
Oct 10, 20261. FC Nürnberg(away)4-42. Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth wins, 1 draw, 3 VfL Wolfsburg wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 6, 2022VfL Wolfsburg 4-1 SpVgg Greuther FürthBundesliga
Sep 11, 2021SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0-2 VfL WolfsburgBundesliga
Feb 9, 2013SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0-1 VfL WolfsburgBundesliga
Sep 22, 2012VfL Wolfsburg 1-1 SpVgg Greuther FürthBundesliga

Last archived meeting: VfL Wolfsburg vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth on Feb 6, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

SpVgg Greuther Fürth score 1.2 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; VfL Wolfsburg score 2.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
SpVgg Greuther Fürth1.22.129/159/15
VfL Wolfsburg2.51.6310/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SpVgg Greuther Fürth sit 9th in 2. Bundesliga (12 points from 10 matches) and VfL Wolfsburg sit 3rd (19 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3VfL Wolfsburg10541251419
9SpVgg Greuther Fürth10334131612

A question about SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs VfL Wolfsburg?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs VfL Wolfsburg?
The Footlab AI model makes VfL Wolfsburg the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
Where and when is SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs VfL Wolfsburg played?
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs VfL Wolfsburg is played on December 12, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: SpVgg Greuther Fürth and VfL Wolfsburg

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