Dynamo Dresden vs Energie Cottbus: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, Dresden
The Footlab model makes Dynamo Dresden the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Energie Cottbus. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dynamo Dresden vs Energie Cottbus?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Dynamo Dresden (2,026) and Energie Cottbus (1,982).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dynamo Dresden have 10 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; Energie Cottbus have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Westfalia Rhynern(away) | 6-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | SV Darmstadt 98(home) | 1-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | 1. FC Nürnberg(away) | 0-3 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Union Berlin(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Energie Cottbus(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Augsburg(home) | 0-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Arminia Bielefeld(away) | 0-3 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hannover 96(home) | 3-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Werder Bremen(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dynamo Dresden(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Dynamo Dresden win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Energie Cottbus win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dynamo Dresden 1-2 Energie Cottbus | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 13, 2025 | Dynamo Dresden 3-0 Energie Cottbus | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Energie Cottbus 1-1 Dynamo Dresden | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2024 | Dynamo Dresden 4-2 Energie Cottbus | 3. Liga |
| Apr 2, 2016 | Energie Cottbus 0-2 Dynamo Dresden | 3. Liga |
| Oct 17, 2015 | Dynamo Dresden 0-1 Energie Cottbus | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Dynamo Dresden vs Energie Cottbus on Jul 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dynamo Dresden score 2.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Energie Cottbus score 1.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dynamo Dresden | 2.8 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 10/15 |
| Energie Cottbus | 1.8 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dynamo Dresden sit 11th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and Energie Cottbus sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Energie Cottbus | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 11 | Dynamo Dresden | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dynamo Dresden vs Energie Cottbus?
- The Footlab model makes Dynamo Dresden the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Energie Cottbus.
- Where and when is Dynamo Dresden vs Energie Cottbus played?
- Dynamo Dresden vs Energie Cottbus is played on December 12, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 12, 2026Hertha BSCvsSV Darmstadt 98
- Dec 12, 2026VfL Bochumvs1. FC Heidenheim
- Dec 12, 2026SpVgg Greuther FürthvsVfL Wolfsburg
- Dec 12, 20261. FC Magdeburgvs1. FC Nürnberg
- Dec 12, 2026Arminia Bielefeldvs1. FC Kaiserslautern
- Dec 12, 2026Holstein KielvsHannover 96
- Dec 12, 2026Eintracht BraunschweigvsKarlsruher SC
- Dec 12, 2026VfL OsnabrückvsFC St. Pauli