Match

1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Osnabrück: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Max-Morlock-Stadion, Nürnberg

1. FC NürnbergVfL Osnabrück

The Footlab model makes 1. FC Nürnberg the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for VfL Osnabrück. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win 1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Osnabrück?

A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate 1. FC Nürnberg (2,023) and VfL Osnabrück (2,010).

1. FC Nürnberg win45 %
Draw25 %
VfL Osnabrück win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1. FC Nürnberg have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeats; VfL Osnabrück have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

1. FC Nürnberg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026FC Viktoria Köln(away)1-1DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026SpVgg Greuther Fürth(away)4-22. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026Dynamo Dresden(home)3-02. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026Oviedo(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Palermo(away)2-2Friendlies Clubs
VfL Osnabrück
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 18, 2026Spelle-Venhaus(away)5-3Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 20261. FC Magdeburg(home)0-32. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 20261. FC Heidenheim(away)3-42. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026SC Paderborn 07(home)0-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2026Nordhorn(away)7-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 1. FC Nürnberg win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 VfL Osnabrück win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 3, 20241. FC Nürnberg 2-2 VfL Osnabrück2. Bundesliga
Aug 20, 2023VfL Osnabrück 2-3 1. FC Nürnberg2. Bundesliga
Mar 14, 20211. FC Nürnberg 1-1 VfL Osnabrück2. Bundesliga
Nov 23, 2020VfL Osnabrück 1-4 1. FC Nürnberg2. Bundesliga
Feb 8, 2020VfL Osnabrück 0-1 1. FC Nürnberg2. Bundesliga
Aug 25, 20191. FC Nürnberg 1-0 VfL Osnabrück2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: 1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Osnabrück on Feb 3, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

1. FC Nürnberg score 2.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; VfL Osnabrück score 2.2 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
1. FC Nürnberg2.71.2410/1510/15
VfL Osnabrück2.21.647/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

1. FC Nürnberg sit 1st in 2. Bundesliga (6 points from 2 matches) and VfL Osnabrück sit 18th (0 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11. FC Nürnberg2200726
18VfL Osnabrück2002370

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for 1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Osnabrück?
The Footlab model makes 1. FC Nürnberg the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for VfL Osnabrück.
Where and when is 1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Osnabrück played?
1. FC Nürnberg vs VfL Osnabrück is played on December 19, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Max-Morlock-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: 1. FC Nürnberg and VfL Osnabrück

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