VfL Bochum vs 1. FC Magdeburg: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Vonovia Ruhrstadion, Bochum
The Footlab model makes VfL Bochum the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for 1. FC Magdeburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VfL Bochum vs 1. FC Magdeburg?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate VfL Bochum (1,984) and 1. FC Magdeburg (1,982).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfL Bochum have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; 1. FC Magdeburg have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth(away) | 2-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Eintracht Braunschweig(away) | 1-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Hertha BSC(home) | 0-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Werder Bremen(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bahlinger SC(away) | 4-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | VfL Osnabrück(away) | 3-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eintracht Braunschweig(home) | 1-6 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | West Ham(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Schöningen(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 VfL Bochum win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 1. FC Magdeburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | 1. FC Magdeburg 4-1 VfL Bochum | 2. Bundesliga |
| Nov 2, 2025 | VfL Bochum 2-0 1. FC Magdeburg | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jul 20, 2024 | 1. FC Magdeburg 1-1 VfL Bochum | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 4, 2019 | VfL Bochum 4-2 1. FC Magdeburg | 2. Bundesliga |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 1. FC Magdeburg 0-0 VfL Bochum | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: 1. FC Magdeburg vs VfL Bochum on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
VfL Bochum score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Magdeburg score 2.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfL Bochum | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| 1. FC Magdeburg | 2.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
VfL Bochum sit 7th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and 1. FC Magdeburg sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | VfL Bochum | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VfL Bochum vs 1. FC Magdeburg?
- The Footlab model makes VfL Bochum the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for 1. FC Magdeburg.
- Where and when is VfL Bochum vs 1. FC Magdeburg played?
- VfL Bochum vs 1. FC Magdeburg is played on December 19, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Vonovia Ruhrstadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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