Match

VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Magdeburg: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg

VfL Wolfsburg1. FC Magdeburg

The Footlab model makes VfL Wolfsburg the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for 1. FC Magdeburg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Magdeburg?

A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate VfL Wolfsburg (2,031) and 1. FC Magdeburg (1,982).

VfL Wolfsburg win48 %
Draw25 %
1. FC Magdeburg win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfL Wolfsburg have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; 1. FC Magdeburg have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

VfL Wolfsburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Altglienicke(away)3-3DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026Hannover 96(away)1-02. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 20261. FC Kaiserslautern(home)0-02. Bundesliga
Jul 31, 2026Telstar(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2026Lyon(home)0-2Friendlies Clubs
1. FC Magdeburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Bahlinger SC(away)4-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026VfL Osnabrück(away)3-02. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026Eintracht Braunschweig(home)1-62. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026West Ham(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Schöningen(away)4-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 VfL Wolfsburg win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 1. FC Magdeburg win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 26, 20251. FC Magdeburg 3-4 VfL WolfsburgFriendlies Clubs
Sep 5, 20201. FC Magdeburg 1-4 VfL WolfsburgFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: 1. FC Magdeburg vs VfL Wolfsburg on Jul 26, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

VfL Wolfsburg score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Magdeburg score 2.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
VfL Wolfsburg1.71.158/158/15
1. FC Magdeburg2.31.258/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

VfL Wolfsburg sit 4th in 2. Bundesliga (4 points from 2 matches) and 1. FC Magdeburg sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4VfL Wolfsburg2110104
101. FC Magdeburg2101463

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Magdeburg?
The Footlab model makes VfL Wolfsburg the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for 1. FC Magdeburg.
Where and when is VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Magdeburg played?
VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Magdeburg is played on December 5, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Volkswagen Arena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: VfL Wolfsburg and 1. FC Magdeburg

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