VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Magdeburg: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg
The Footlab model makes VfL Wolfsburg the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for 1. FC Magdeburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Magdeburg?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate VfL Wolfsburg (2,031) and 1. FC Magdeburg (1,982).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfL Wolfsburg have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; 1. FC Magdeburg have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Altglienicke(away) | 3-3 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hannover 96(away) | 1-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern(home) | 0-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Telstar(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Lyon(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bahlinger SC(away) | 4-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | VfL Osnabrück(away) | 3-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eintracht Braunschweig(home) | 1-6 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | West Ham(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Schöningen(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 VfL Wolfsburg win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 1. FC Magdeburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2025 | 1. FC Magdeburg 3-4 VfL Wolfsburg | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 5, 2020 | 1. FC Magdeburg 1-4 VfL Wolfsburg | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: 1. FC Magdeburg vs VfL Wolfsburg on Jul 26, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
VfL Wolfsburg score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Magdeburg score 2.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfL Wolfsburg | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| 1. FC Magdeburg | 2.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
VfL Wolfsburg sit 4th in 2. Bundesliga (4 points from 2 matches) and 1. FC Magdeburg sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | VfL Wolfsburg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Magdeburg?
- The Footlab model makes VfL Wolfsburg the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for 1. FC Magdeburg.
- Where and when is VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Magdeburg played?
- VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Magdeburg is played on December 5, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Volkswagen Arena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Dec 5, 20261. FC NürnbergvsVfL Bochum
- Dec 5, 2026SV Darmstadt 98vsEintracht Braunschweig
- Dec 5, 2026FC St. Paulivs1. FC Heidenheim
- Dec 5, 2026Arminia BielefeldvsDynamo Dresden
- Dec 5, 20261. FC KaiserslauternvsSpVgg Greuther Fürth
- Dec 5, 2026Karlsruher SCvsHolstein Kiel
- Dec 5, 2026Energie CottbusvsVfL Osnabrück