Karlsruher SC vs Holstein Kiel: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)BBBank Wildpark, Karlsruhe
The Footlab AI model makes Karlsruher SC the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Holstein Kiel. The most likely score is 1-1. If Karlsruher SC wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,073 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karlsruher SC vs Holstein Kiel?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Karlsruher SC (1,922) and Holstein Kiel (1,955).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Karlsruher SC vs Holstein Kiel
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Karlsruher SC
3-5-1-1- 13S. Fukuda
- 10M. Wanitzek
- 6S. Väänänen
- 7K. Wiethaup
- 36Rafael Pinto Pedrosa
- 3D. Ofli
- 23T. Civeja
- 22C. Kobald
- 24S. Trémoulet
- 15Paul Scholl
- 1H. Bernat
Holstein Kiel
4-3-3- 19P. Harres
- 10J. Therkelsen
- 11G. de Regt
- 28J. Meffert
- 15K. Davidsen
- 20A. Kaprálik
- 32H. Sekine
- 5N. Madsen
- 40Leon Parduzi
- 4S. Schonlau
- 1T. Weiner
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 08:19 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karlsruher SC have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Holstein Kiel have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | VfL Bochum(away) | 2-3 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Oct 31, 2026 | 1. FC Heidenheim(home) | 2-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach(away) | 0-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 1. FC Magdeburg(away) | 1-6 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | SV Darmstadt 98(home) | 4-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Arminia Bielefeld(home) | 1-2 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Nov 1, 2026 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth(away) | 0-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Oct 28, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(home) | 1-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Dynamo Dresden(home) | 3-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Hertha BSC(home) | 0-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Karlsruher SC win, 0 draws, 5 Holstein Kiel wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Karlsruher SC 3-1 Holstein Kiel | 2. Bundesliga |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Holstein Kiel 3-0 Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Holstein Kiel 1-0 Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Karlsruher SC 0-2 Holstein Kiel | 2. Bundesliga |
| May 13, 2023 | Holstein Kiel 2-1 Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga |
| Nov 5, 2022 | Karlsruher SC 1-4 Holstein Kiel | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Karlsruher SC vs Holstein Kiel on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Karlsruher SC score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Holstein Kiel score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karlsruher SC | 1.3 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Holstein Kiel | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karlsruher SC sit 16th in 2. Bundesliga (11 points from 11 matches) and Holstein Kiel sit 18th (8 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Karlsruher SC | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 11 |
| 18 | Holstein Kiel | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 8 |
A question about Karlsruher SC vs Holstein Kiel?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karlsruher SC vs Holstein Kiel?
- The Footlab AI model makes Karlsruher SC the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Holstein Kiel.
- Where and when is Karlsruher SC vs Holstein Kiel played?
- Karlsruher SC vs Holstein Kiel is played on December 5, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at BBBank Wildpark, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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