Hannover 96 vs Hertha BSC: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Heinz von Heiden-Arena, Hannover
The Footlab model makes Hannover 96 the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Hertha BSC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hannover 96 vs Hertha BSC?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Hannover 96 (2,078) and Hertha BSC (2,044).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hannover 96 have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Hertha BSC have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hemelingen(away) | 9-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg(home) | 0-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Energie Cottbus(away) | 1-3 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | PEC Zwolle(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Phönix Lübeck(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Saarbrücken(away) | 1-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | 1. FC Heidenheim(home) | 4-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | VfL Bochum(away) | 1-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | 1. FC Köln(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hannover 96 win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Hertha BSC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Hertha BSC 2-3 Hannover 96 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Hannover 96 0-3 Hertha BSC | 2. Bundesliga |
| May 18, 2025 | Hertha BSC 1-1 Hannover 96 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Hannover 96 0-0 Hertha BSC | 2. Bundesliga |
| Apr 26, 2024 | Hertha BSC 1-1 Hannover 96 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Nov 24, 2023 | Hannover 96 2-2 Hertha BSC | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Hertha BSC vs Hannover 96 on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hannover 96 score 2.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hertha BSC score 2.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannover 96 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Hertha BSC | 2.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hannover 96 sit 17th in 2. Bundesliga (0 points from 2 matches) and Hertha BSC sit 2nd (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Hertha BSC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 17 | Hannover 96 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hannover 96 vs Hertha BSC?
- The Footlab model makes Hannover 96 the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Hertha BSC.
- Where and when is Hannover 96 vs Hertha BSC played?
- Hannover 96 vs Hertha BSC is played on December 5, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Heinz von Heiden-Arena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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