VfL Osnabrück vs Dynamo Dresden: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Bremer Brücke, Osnabrück
The Footlab model makes VfL Osnabrück the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Dynamo Dresden. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VfL Osnabrück vs Dynamo Dresden?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate VfL Osnabrück (2,002) and Dynamo Dresden (1,998).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfL Osnabrück have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Dynamo Dresden have 10, 0 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Spelle-Venhaus(away) | 5-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | 1. FC Magdeburg(home) | 0-3 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | 1. FC Heidenheim(away) | 3-4 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SC Paderborn 07(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Nordhorn(away) | 7-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Westfalia Rhynern(away) | 6-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | SV Darmstadt 98(home) | 1-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | 1. FC Nürnberg(away) | 0-3 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Union Berlin(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Energie Cottbus(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 VfL Osnabrück win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Dynamo Dresden win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2025 | Dynamo Dresden 0-1 VfL Osnabrück | 3. Liga |
| Nov 9, 2024 | VfL Osnabrück 0-3 Dynamo Dresden | 3. Liga |
| Apr 2, 2023 | VfL Osnabrück 0-1 Dynamo Dresden | 3. Liga |
| Oct 9, 2022 | Dynamo Dresden 3-2 VfL Osnabrück | 3. Liga |
| Jun 28, 2020 | Dynamo Dresden 2-2 VfL Osnabrück | 2. Bundesliga |
| Dec 15, 2019 | VfL Osnabrück 3-0 Dynamo Dresden | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Dynamo Dresden vs VfL Osnabrück on Apr 12, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
VfL Osnabrück score 2.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Dynamo Dresden score 2.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfL Osnabrück | 2.2 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Dynamo Dresden | 2.8 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
VfL Osnabrück sit 18th in 2. Bundesliga (0 points from 2 matches) and Dynamo Dresden sit 11th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Dynamo Dresden | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 18 | VfL Osnabrück | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VfL Osnabrück vs Dynamo Dresden?
- The Footlab model makes VfL Osnabrück the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Dynamo Dresden.
- Where and when is VfL Osnabrück vs Dynamo Dresden played?
- VfL Osnabrück vs Dynamo Dresden is played on October 10, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Bremer Brücke, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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