Where and when is Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth played?

Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth is played on October 10, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Olympiastadion Berlin, in the 2. Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Olympiastadion Berlin, Berlin

Hertha BSC

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

The Footlab model makes Hertha BSC the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

Hertha BSC starts as the favourite with a 156-point Elo edge (2,036 vs 1,880).

Hertha BSC win60 %

Draw22 %

SpVgg Greuther Fürth win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hertha BSC have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; SpVgg Greuther Fürth have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hertha BSC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	FC Saarbrücken(away)	1-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	1. FC Heidenheim(home)	4-1	2. Bundesliga
Aug 7, 2026	VfL Bochum(away)	1-0	2. Bundesliga
Jul 31, 2026	1. FC Köln(away)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026	Mamelodi Sundowns(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	VfL Bochum(home)	1-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	1. FC Nürnberg(home)	2-4	2. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026	FC St. Pauli(away)	1-1	2. Bundesliga
Jul 18, 2026	FC Zurich(away)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 11, 2026	Eintracht Bamberg(home)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Hertha BSC win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Hertha BSC 2-1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2. Bundesliga
Dec 12, 2025	SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3-3 Hertha BSC	2. Bundesliga
May 4, 2025	Hertha BSC 1-0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2. Bundesliga
Dec 7, 2024	SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2-1 Hertha BSC	2. Bundesliga
Feb 11, 2024	SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1-2 Hertha BSC	2. Bundesliga
Aug 26, 2023	Hertha BSC 5-0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth on May 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hertha BSC score 2.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; SpVgg Greuther Fürth score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Hertha BSC	2.8	1.3	3	9/15	8/15
SpVgg Greuther Fürth	1.3	1.7	3	9/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hertha BSC sit 2nd in 2. Bundesliga (6 points from 2 matches) and SpVgg Greuther Fürth sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Hertha BSC	2	2	0	0	5	1	6
16	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2	0	1	1	3	5	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?: The Footlab model makes Hertha BSC the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
Where and when is Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth played?: Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth is played on October 10, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Olympiastadion Berlin, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.