1. FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Voith-Arena, Heidenheim an der Brenz
The Footlab model makes 1. FC Heidenheim the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for 1. FC Kaiserslautern. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 1. FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate 1. FC Heidenheim (1,981) and 1. FC Kaiserslautern (1,990).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1. FC Heidenheim have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; 1. FC Kaiserslautern have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Bayern München(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hertha BSC(away) | 1-4 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | VfL Osnabrück(home) | 4-3 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Ingolstadt 04(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Bologna(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Waldhof Mannheim(away) | 1-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Karlsruher SC(home) | 0-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg(away) | 0-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Metz(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sudtirol(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 1. FC Heidenheim win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 1. FC Kaiserslautern win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern 2-2 1. FC Heidenheim | 2. Bundesliga |
| Sep 18, 2022 | 1. FC Heidenheim 2-2 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2. Bundesliga |
| May 6, 2018 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1-0 1. FC Heidenheim | 2. Bundesliga |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 1. FC Heidenheim 3-2 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2. Bundesliga |
| Mar 12, 2017 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1-1 1. FC Heidenheim | 2. Bundesliga |
| Sep 24, 2016 | 1. FC Heidenheim 3-0 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs 1. FC Heidenheim on Apr 1, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
1. FC Heidenheim score 2.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Kaiserslautern score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Heidenheim | 2.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 1.1 | 1.1 | 8 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
1. FC Heidenheim sit 9th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and 1. FC Kaiserslautern sit 14th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
| 14 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 1. FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
- The Footlab model makes 1. FC Heidenheim the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for 1. FC Kaiserslautern.
- Where and when is 1. FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern played?
- 1. FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern is played on October 10, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Voith-Arena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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