Match

VfL Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Vonovia Ruhrstadion, Bochum

VfL BochumArminia Bielefeld

The Footlab AI model makes VfL Bochum the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Arminia Bielefeld. The most likely score is 1-1. If VfL Bochum wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win VfL Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld?

A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate VfL Bochum (1,984) and Arminia Bielefeld (1,989).

44%25%31%
VfL Bochum winDrawArminia Bielefeld win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for VfL Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

VfL Bochum

4-2-3-1
  1. 33P. Hofmann
  1. 7C. Rasmussen
  2. 34T. Meyer
  3. 23K. Miyoshi
  4. 17G. Holtmann
  5. 28C. Patino
  1. 15M. Steinwender
  2. 32M. Wittek
  3. 5K. Mets
  4. 2S. Klaiber
  1. 1T. Horn

Arminia Bielefeld

4-4-2
  1. 10J. Rochelt
  2. 6M. Mehlem
  1. 21S. Russo
  2. 14M. Momuluh
  3. 38M. Wörl
  4. 11J. Grodowski
  1. 5M. Bauer
  2. 19M. Großer
  3. 7H. Koudossou
  4. 29T. Handwerker
  1. 1J. Kersken

Computed on October 8, 2026 at 08:48 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfL Bochum have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Arminia Bielefeld have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

VfL Bochum
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 2, 2026VfL Osnabrück(home)4-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 20, 2026Hannover 96(away)1-22. Bundesliga
Sep 12, 2026SpVgg Greuther Fürth(home)1-12. Bundesliga
Sep 5, 2026Dynamo Dresden(away)2-12. Bundesliga
Aug 28, 2026VfL Osnabrück(home)0-12. Bundesliga
Arminia Bielefeld
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Rot-Weiß Essen(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Sep 20, 20261. FC Heidenheim(home)2-22. Bundesliga
Sep 11, 2026SV Darmstadt 98(away)1-22. Bundesliga
Sep 4, 2026FC St. Pauli(home)2-22. Bundesliga
Aug 29, 20261. FC Nürnberg(away)1-42. Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 VfL Bochum wins, 2 draws, 2 Arminia Bielefeld wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 2, 2026Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 VfL Bochum2. Bundesliga
Dec 6, 2025VfL Bochum 1-0 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga
Aug 12, 2023Arminia Bielefeld 2-2 VfL BochumDFB Pokal
May 6, 2022VfL Bochum 2-1 Arminia BielefeldBundesliga
Dec 14, 2021Arminia Bielefeld 2-0 VfL BochumBundesliga
Jan 28, 2020Arminia Bielefeld 2-0 VfL Bochum2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Bochum on May 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

VfL Bochum score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Arminia Bielefeld score 2.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
VfL Bochum1.31.039/156/15
Arminia Bielefeld2.41.6311/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

VfL Bochum sit 9th in 2. Bundesliga (7 points from 6 matches) and Arminia Bielefeld sit 13th (5 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9VfL Bochum6213567
13Arminia Bielefeld612310125

A question about VfL Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for VfL Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld?
The Footlab AI model makes VfL Bochum the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Arminia Bielefeld.
Where and when is VfL Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld played?
VfL Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld is played on October 11, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Vonovia Ruhrstadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: VfL Bochum and Arminia Bielefeld

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