Where and when is VfL Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld played?

VfL Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld is played on October 10, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Vonovia Ruhrstadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

VfL Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Vonovia Ruhrstadion, Bochum

VfL Bochum

Arminia Bielefeld

The Footlab model makes VfL Bochum the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Arminia Bielefeld. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win VfL Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld?

A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate VfL Bochum (1,967) and Arminia Bielefeld (2,006).

VfL Bochum win39 %

Draw26 %

Arminia Bielefeld win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfL Bochum have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Arminia Bielefeld have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

VfL Bochum
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	Eintracht Braunschweig(away)	1-0	2. Bundesliga
Aug 7, 2026	Hertha BSC(home)	0-1	2. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026	Sheffield Utd(home)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Werder Bremen(away)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026	Swansea(away)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs

Arminia Bielefeld
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2026	Energie Cottbus(home)	3-0	2. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026	Karlsruher SC(away)	1-2	2. Bundesliga
Jul 25, 2026	MSV Duisburg(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Bologna(away)	4-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 8, 2026	FC Gutersloh(away)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 VfL Bochum win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Arminia Bielefeld win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 2, 2026	Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 VfL Bochum	2. Bundesliga
Dec 6, 2025	VfL Bochum 1-0 Arminia Bielefeld	2. Bundesliga
Aug 12, 2023	Arminia Bielefeld 2-2 VfL Bochum	DFB Pokal
May 6, 2022	VfL Bochum 2-1 Arminia Bielefeld	Bundesliga
Dec 14, 2021	Arminia Bielefeld 2-0 VfL Bochum	Bundesliga
Jan 28, 2020	Arminia Bielefeld 2-0 VfL Bochum	2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Bochum on May 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

VfL Bochum score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Arminia Bielefeld score 2.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
VfL Bochum	1.2	1.4	3	8/15	6/15
Arminia Bielefeld	2.5	1.5	3	11/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

VfL Bochum sit 7th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and Arminia Bielefeld sit 6th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Arminia Bielefeld	2	1	0	1	4	2	3
7	VfL Bochum	2	1	0	1	1	1	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for VfL Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld?: The Footlab model makes VfL Bochum the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Arminia Bielefeld.
Where and when is VfL Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld played?: VfL Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld is played on October 10, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Vonovia Ruhrstadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.