Where and when is FC St. Pauli vs Karlsruher SC played?

FC St. Pauli vs Karlsruher SC is played on October 10, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Millerntor-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

FC St. Pauli vs Karlsruher SC: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg

FC St. Pauli

Karlsruher SC

The Footlab model makes FC St. Pauli the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Karlsruher SC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC St. Pauli vs Karlsruher SC?

A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate FC St. Pauli (1,967) and Karlsruher SC (1,953).

FC St. Pauli win45 %

Draw25 %

Karlsruher SC win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC St. Pauli have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Karlsruher SC have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC St. Pauli
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Rot-Weiß Essen(away)	0-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 14, 2026	Holstein Kiel(away)	2-2	2. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026	SpVgg Greuther Fürth(home)	1-1	2. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026	Deportivo La Coruna(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2026	Bournemouth(away)	1-4	Friendlies Clubs

Karlsruher SC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Preußen Münster(away)	2-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	1. FC Kaiserslautern(away)	0-0	2. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026	Arminia Bielefeld(home)	2-1	2. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026	1899 Hoffenheim(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 26, 2026	Inter(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FC St. Pauli win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Karlsruher SC win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 20, 2025	FC St. Pauli 6-1 Karlsruher SC	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 6, 2024	Karlsruher SC 2-1 FC St. Pauli	2. Bundesliga
Oct 28, 2023	FC St. Pauli 2-1 Karlsruher SC	2. Bundesliga
May 28, 2023	FC St. Pauli 1-1 Karlsruher SC	2. Bundesliga
Nov 12, 2022	Karlsruher SC 4-4 FC St. Pauli	2. Bundesliga
Mar 5, 2022	FC St. Pauli 3-1 Karlsruher SC	2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: FC St. Pauli vs Karlsruher SC on Jul 20, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

FC St. Pauli score 1.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Karlsruher SC score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
FC St. Pauli	1.3	2.0	0	12/15	10/15
Karlsruher SC	1.3	1.9	1	10/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC St. Pauli sit 13th in 2. Bundesliga (2 points from 2 matches) and Karlsruher SC sit 3rd (4 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Karlsruher SC	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
13	FC St. Pauli	2	0	2	0	3	3	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC St. Pauli vs Karlsruher SC?: The Footlab model makes FC St. Pauli the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Karlsruher SC.
Where and when is FC St. Pauli vs Karlsruher SC played?: FC St. Pauli vs Karlsruher SC is played on October 10, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Millerntor-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.