Academico Viseu vs Moreirense: prediction and stats
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal do Fontelo, Viseu
The Footlab model makes Academico Viseu the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Moreirense. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Academico Viseu vs Moreirense?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Academico Viseu (1,996) and Moreirense (2,004).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Academico Viseu have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Moreirense have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Maritimo(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Santa Clara(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Benfica(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Celta Vigo(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Arouca(away) | 0-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | SC Braga(home) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Amarante(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | GIL Vicente(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Santa Clara(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Academico Viseu win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Moreirense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2023 | Moreirense 1-0 Academico Viseu | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 14, 2022 | Academico Viseu 1-3 Moreirense | Segunda Liga |
Last archived meeting: Moreirense vs Academico Viseu on Feb 4, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Academico Viseu score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Moreirense score 1.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Academico Viseu | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Moreirense | 1.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Academico Viseu sit 12th in Primeira Liga (2 points from 3 matches) and Moreirense sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Academico Viseu | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| 16 | Moreirense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Academico Viseu vs Moreirense?
- The Footlab model makes Academico Viseu the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Moreirense.
- Where and when is Academico Viseu vs Moreirense played?
- Academico Viseu vs Moreirense is played on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal do Fontelo, in the Primeira Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.