Match

Acatlan vs Atlético Saltillo: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 22Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 01:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Miguel Hidalgo, Zapotlanejo

AcatlanAtlético Saltillo

The Footlab model makes Atlético Saltillo the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Acatlan. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Acatlan vs Atlético Saltillo?

Atlético Saltillo starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,847 vs 1,727).

Acatlan win31 %
Draw24 %
Atlético Saltillo win45 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Acatlan have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Atlético Saltillo have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Acatlan
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 11, 2026Cimarrones(home)0-4Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 5, 2026Colima(home)1-3Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 29, 2026Ensenada(away)1-0Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 22, 2026UA Zacatecas(home)4-2Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 15, 2026Durango(home)0-3Liga Premier Serie A
Atlético Saltillo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 27, 2024Leones Negros(away)1-4Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 21, 2024Tritons Vallarta(home)0-1Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 13, 2024Colima(away)1-0Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 7, 2024Tecos(home)1-0Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 29, 2024Correcaminos UAT II(away)0-0Liga Premier Serie A

How many goals should we expect?

Acatlan score 1.7 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Saltillo score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Acatlan1.72.728/1513/15
Atlético Saltillo0.81.175/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13Acatlan266119397321

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Acatlan vs Atlético Saltillo?
The Footlab model makes Atlético Saltillo the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Acatlan.
Where and when is Acatlan vs Atlético Saltillo played?
Acatlan vs Atlético Saltillo is played on February 27, 2027 at 01:30 AM (UTC) at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Acatlan and Atlético Saltillo

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