Real Apodaca vs FC Santiago: prediction and stats
Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 22Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Unidad Deportiva Centenario del Ejercito Mexicano, Apodaca Centro
The Footlab model makes Real Apodaca the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for FC Santiago. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Apodaca vs FC Santiago?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Real Apodaca (1,996) and FC Santiago (2,003).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Apodaca have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; FC Santiago have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Deportiva Venados(home) | 2-4 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Deportiva Venados(away) | 1-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Inter Playa del Carmen(home) | 3-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Inter Playa del Carmen(away) | 0-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Correcaminos UAT II(away) | 0-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Zacatepec 1948(home) | 2-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Zacatepec 1948(away) | 1-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Sporting Canamy(away) | 6-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Zitacuaro(away) | 1-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Ciervos(home) | 5-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Real Apodaca win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 FC Santiago win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | FC Santiago 3-0 Real Apodaca | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Real Apodaca 2-2 FC Santiago | Liga Premier Serie A |
Last archived meeting: FC Santiago vs Real Apodaca on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Apodaca score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; FC Santiago score 2.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Apodaca | 1.5 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| FC Santiago | 2.0 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Apodaca sit 1st in Liga Premier Serie A (66 points from 26 matches) and FC Santiago sit 2nd (51 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Apodaca | 26 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 47 | 19 | 66 |
| 2 | FC Santiago | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 43 | 21 | 51 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Apodaca vs FC Santiago?
- The Footlab model makes Real Apodaca the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for FC Santiago.
- Where and when is Real Apodaca vs FC Santiago played?
- Real Apodaca vs FC Santiago is played on February 28, 2027 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Unidad Deportiva Centenario del Ejercito Mexicano, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 27, 2027Guerreros del PacificovsReal Refineros
- Feb 27, 2027AcatlanvsAtlético Saltillo
- Feb 27, 2027Cañoneros MarinavsCiervos
- Feb 28, 2027La Tribu de Cd. JuarezvsHéroes de Zaci
- Feb 28, 2027Dragones de OaxacavsArtesanos Metepec
- Feb 28, 2027Delfines CoatzacoalcosvsCalor de San Pedro
- Feb 28, 2027GuerrerosvsMineros de Fresnillo
- Mar 1, 2027AcambarovsHalcones Negros