Match

Real Apodaca vs FC Santiago: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 22Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Unidad Deportiva Centenario del Ejercito Mexicano, Apodaca Centro

Real ApodacaFC Santiago

The Footlab model makes Real Apodaca the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for FC Santiago. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Apodaca vs FC Santiago?

A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Real Apodaca (1,996) and FC Santiago (2,003).

Real Apodaca win45 %
Draw26 %
FC Santiago win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Apodaca have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; FC Santiago have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Apodaca
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Deportiva Venados(home)2-4Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 30, 2026Deportiva Venados(away)1-1Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 26, 2026Inter Playa del Carmen(home)3-1Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 23, 2026Inter Playa del Carmen(away)0-0Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 11, 2026Correcaminos UAT II(away)0-1Liga Premier Serie A
FC Santiago
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 19, 2026Zacatepec 1948(home)2-3Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 15, 2026Zacatepec 1948(away)1-1Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 11, 2026Sporting Canamy(away)6-0Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 6, 2026Zitacuaro(away)1-1Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 31, 2026Ciervos(home)5-0Liga Premier Serie A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Real Apodaca win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 FC Santiago win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 31, 2026FC Santiago 3-0 Real ApodacaLiga Premier Serie A
Sep 14, 2025Real Apodaca 2-2 FC SantiagoLiga Premier Serie A

Last archived meeting: FC Santiago vs Real Apodaca on Jan 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Real Apodaca score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; FC Santiago score 2.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Real Apodaca1.51.076/158/15
FC Santiago2.00.768/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Real Apodaca sit 1st in Liga Premier Serie A (66 points from 26 matches) and FC Santiago sit 2nd (51 points from 26 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Real Apodaca262123471966
2FC Santiago261475432151

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Apodaca vs FC Santiago?
The Footlab model makes Real Apodaca the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for FC Santiago.
Where and when is Real Apodaca vs FC Santiago played?
Real Apodaca vs FC Santiago is played on February 28, 2027 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Unidad Deportiva Centenario del Ejercito Mexicano, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Real Apodaca and FC Santiago

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