Dragones de Oaxaca vs Artesanos Metepec: prediction and stats
Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 22Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 12:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Artesanos Metepec the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Dragones de Oaxaca. The most likely score is 1-1. If Artesanos Metepec wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,479 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dragones de Oaxaca vs Artesanos Metepec?
Artesanos Metepec starts as the favourite with a 131-point Elo edge (2,012 vs 1,881).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dragones de Oaxaca vs Artesanos Metepec
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dragones de Oaxaca
Not enough data to predict the Dragones de Oaxaca lineup.
Artesanos Metepec
Not enough data to predict the Artesanos Metepec lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 08:07 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dragones de Oaxaca have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Artesanos Metepec have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Guerreros del Pacifico(home) | 5-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Refineros(home) | 3-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Delfines Coatzacoalcos(away) | 3-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cañoneros Marina(home) | 3-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Acambaro(away) | 1-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Delfines Coatzacoalcos(away) | 1-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cañoneros Marina(home) | 3-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Acambaro(away) | 3-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Halcones Negros(home) | 2-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ciervos(away) | 3-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Dragones de Oaxaca wins, 0 draws, 2 Artesanos Metepec wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Artesanos Metepec 2-1 Dragones de Oaxaca | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Dragones de Oaxaca 1-2 Artesanos Metepec | Liga Premier Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Artesanos Metepec vs Dragones de Oaxaca on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dragones de Oaxaca score 2.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Artesanos Metepec score 2.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dragones de Oaxaca | 2.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Artesanos Metepec | 2.0 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dragones de Oaxaca sit 2nd in Liga Premier Serie A (18 points from 7 matches) and Artesanos Metepec sit 1st (20 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Artesanos Metepec | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 5 | 20 |
| 2 | Dragones de Oaxaca | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 18 |
A question about Dragones de Oaxaca vs Artesanos Metepec?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dragones de Oaxaca vs Artesanos Metepec?
- The Footlab AI model makes Artesanos Metepec the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Dragones de Oaxaca.
- Where and when is Dragones de Oaxaca vs Artesanos Metepec played?
- Dragones de Oaxaca vs Artesanos Metepec is played on February 28, 2027 at 12:00 AM (UTC), in the Liga Premier Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 27, 2027Guerreros del PacificovsReal Refineros
- Feb 27, 2027AcatlanvsAtlético Saltillo
- Feb 27, 2027Cañoneros MarinavsCiervos
- Feb 28, 2027La Tribu de Cd. JuarezvsHéroes de Zaci
- Feb 28, 2027Delfines CoatzacoalcosvsCalor de San Pedro
- Feb 28, 2027GuerrerosvsMineros de Fresnillo
- Feb 28, 2027Real ApodacavsFC Santiago
- Mar 1, 2027AcambarovsHalcones Negros