Dragones de Oaxaca vs Artesanos Metepec: prediction and stats
Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 22Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 12:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Artesanos Metepec the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Dragones de Oaxaca. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dragones de Oaxaca vs Artesanos Metepec?
Artesanos Metepec starts as the favourite with a 141-point Elo edge (1,966 vs 1,825).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dragones de Oaxaca have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Artesanos Metepec have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Poza Rica(away) | 1-2 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Poza Rica(home) | 1-1 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Aguacateros CDU(away) | 0-0 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Poza Rica(home) | 5-1 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Acambaro(home) | 1-2 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | FC Racing(home) | 0-1 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Apr 11, 2026 | FC Racing(away) | 3-1 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Gorilas de Juanacatlan(home) | 0-1 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Gorilas de Juanacatlan(away) | 3-1 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Caja Oblatos CFD(home) | 4-0 | Liga Premier Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Dragones de Oaxaca win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Artesanos Metepec win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Artesanos Metepec 2-1 Dragones de Oaxaca | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Dragones de Oaxaca 1-2 Artesanos Metepec | Liga Premier Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Artesanos Metepec vs Dragones de Oaxaca on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dragones de Oaxaca score 1.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Artesanos Metepec score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dragones de Oaxaca | 1.2 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Artesanos Metepec | 1.5 | 0.7 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dragones de Oaxaca vs Artesanos Metepec?
- The Footlab model makes Artesanos Metepec the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Dragones de Oaxaca.
- Where and when is Dragones de Oaxaca vs Artesanos Metepec played?
- Dragones de Oaxaca vs Artesanos Metepec is played on February 28, 2027 at 12:00 AM (UTC), in the Liga Premier Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 27, 2027Guerreros del PacificovsReal Refineros
- Feb 27, 2027AcatlanvsAtlético Saltillo
- Feb 27, 2027Cañoneros MarinavsCiervos
- Feb 28, 2027La Tribu de Cd. JuarezvsHéroes de Zaci
- Feb 28, 2027Delfines CoatzacoalcosvsCalor de San Pedro
- Feb 28, 2027GuerrerosvsMineros de Fresnillo
- Feb 28, 2027Real ApodacavsFC Santiago
- Mar 1, 2027AcambarovsHalcones Negros