Where and when is Guerreros vs Mineros de Fresnillo played?

Guerreros vs Mineros de Fresnillo is played on February 28, 2027 at 10:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Héroe de Nacozari, in the Liga Premier Serie A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Guerreros vs Mineros de Fresnillo: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 22Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Héroe de Nacozari

Guerreros

Mineros de Fresnillo

The Footlab model makes Guerreros the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Mineros de Fresnillo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Guerreros vs Mineros de Fresnillo?

A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Guerreros (1,824) and Mineros de Fresnillo (1,852).

Guerreros win42 %

Draw26 %

Mineros de Fresnillo win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guerreros have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Mineros de Fresnillo have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Guerreros
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 12, 2026	Reboceros La Piedad(away)	0-3	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 5, 2026	Tritons Vallarta(home)	0-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 29, 2026	Colima(home)	2-0	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 21, 2026	Leones Negros(away)	1-2	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 15, 2026	Los Cabos United(home)	1-1	Liga Premier Serie A

Mineros de Fresnillo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 19, 2026	Cimarrones(away)	1-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 15, 2026	Cimarrones(home)	1-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 11, 2026	Durango(away)	1-2	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 28, 2026	Reboceros La Piedad(home)	6-2	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 21, 2026	Colima(away)	0-0	Liga Premier Serie A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Guerreros win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Mineros de Fresnillo win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 8, 2026	Guerreros 1-1 Mineros de Fresnillo	Liga Premier Serie A
Sep 20, 2025	Mineros de Fresnillo 2-1 Guerreros	Liga Premier Serie A

Last archived meeting: Guerreros vs Mineros de Fresnillo on Feb 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Guerreros score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Mineros de Fresnillo score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Guerreros	1.2	1.4	2	9/15	8/15
Mineros de Fresnillo	1.7	1.2	4	10/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Guerreros sit 9th in Liga Premier Serie A (32 points from 26 matches) and Mineros de Fresnillo sit 7th (39 points from 26 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Mineros de Fresnillo	26	11	4	11	40	41	39
9	Guerreros	26	8	5	13	38	42	32

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Guerreros vs Mineros de Fresnillo?: The Footlab model makes Guerreros the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Mineros de Fresnillo.
Where and when is Guerreros vs Mineros de Fresnillo played?: Guerreros vs Mineros de Fresnillo is played on February 28, 2027 at 10:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Héroe de Nacozari, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.