Accrington ST vs Rotherham: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 29, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Wham Stadium, Accrington, Lancashire
The Footlab model makes Accrington ST the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Rotherham. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Accrington ST vs Rotherham?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Accrington ST (1,672) and Rotherham (1,697).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Accrington ST have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Rotherham have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Exeter City(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Colchester(home) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Crewe(away) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Bury(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | York(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cheltenham(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | West Brom(home) | 1-4 | League Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Derby(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Darlington 1883(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Accrington ST win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Rotherham win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2025 | Accrington ST 4-1 Rotherham | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 5, 2022 | Rotherham 1-0 Accrington ST | League One |
| Dec 26, 2021 | Accrington ST 1-0 Rotherham | League One |
| Aug 10, 2021 | Rotherham 1-2 Accrington ST | League Cup |
| Feb 22, 2020 | Accrington ST 1-2 Rotherham | League One |
| Nov 16, 2019 | Rotherham 1-0 Accrington ST | League One |
Last archived meeting: Accrington ST vs Rotherham on Jul 26, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Accrington ST score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Rotherham score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accrington ST | 1.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Rotherham | 1.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Accrington ST sit 19th in League Two (1 points from 2 matches) and Rotherham sit 17th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Rotherham | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 19 | Accrington ST | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Accrington ST vs Rotherham?
- The Footlab model makes Accrington ST the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Rotherham.
- Where and when is Accrington ST vs Rotherham played?
- Accrington ST vs Rotherham is played on December 29, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Wham Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.