Accrington ST vs Rotherham: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 29, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Wham Stadium, Accrington, Lancashire
The Footlab AI model makes Accrington ST the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Rotherham. The most likely score is 1-1. If Accrington ST wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,606 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Accrington ST vs Rotherham?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Accrington ST (1,752) and Rotherham (1,736).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Accrington ST vs Rotherham
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Accrington ST
3-4-1-2- 23T. Walton
- 30C. Warren
- 33D. Tutonda
- 38C. O'Brien
- 2D. Love
- 14Stefan Mols
- 39J. Woods
- 22J. Anderson
- 17D. Matthews
- 28S. Conneely
- 1L. Moulden
Rotherham
3-4-1-2- 10P. Mullin
- 9T. Bradshaw
- 12D. Hall
- 4J. Austerfield
- 24J. Buyabu
- 28Brandon Ashley Cover
- 6O. Ashley
- 14Sonny Aljofree
- 27D. Iorfa
- 26H. Douglas
- 13J. Eyestone
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 04:45 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Accrington ST have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Rotherham have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Gillingham(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Oldham(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Salford City(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cheltenham(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Swindon Town(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gillingham(home) | 1-4 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 0-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Exeter City(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Crewe(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Accrington ST wins, 0 draws, 3 Rotherham wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2025 | Accrington ST 4-1 Rotherham | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 5, 2022 | Rotherham 1-0 Accrington ST | League One |
| Dec 26, 2021 | Accrington ST 1-0 Rotherham | League One |
| Aug 10, 2021 | Rotherham 1-2 Accrington ST | League Cup |
| Feb 22, 2020 | Accrington ST 1-2 Rotherham | League One |
| Nov 16, 2019 | Rotherham 1-0 Accrington ST | League One |
Last archived meeting: Accrington ST vs Rotherham on Jul 26, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Accrington ST score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Rotherham score 1.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accrington ST | 1.4 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Rotherham | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Accrington ST sit 10th in League Two (14 points from 11 matches) and Rotherham sit 23rd (10 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Accrington ST | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 14 |
| 23 | Rotherham | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 10 |
A question about Accrington ST vs Rotherham?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Accrington ST vs Rotherham?
- The Footlab AI model makes Accrington ST the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Rotherham.
- Where and when is Accrington ST vs Rotherham played?
- Accrington ST vs Rotherham is played on December 29, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Wham Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.