Walsall vs Chesterfield: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 29, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Poundland Bescot Stadium, Walsall, West Midlands
The Footlab AI model makes Chesterfield the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Walsall. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chesterfield wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,618 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Walsall vs Chesterfield?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Walsall (1,811) and Chesterfield (1,867).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Walsall vs Chesterfield
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Walsall
4-2-3-1- 19A. Pressley
- 11R. Smith
- 6S. Sprangler
- 15Isaac Moore
- 7Taione Richard Evumena Sodje
- 17Courtney Clarke
- 3M. Hancock
- 4J. Connolly
- 25D. Skura
- 26R. Leak
- 1J. Ward
Chesterfield
4-2-3-1- 10L. Bonis
- 20G. McEachran
- 8R. Stirk
- 24D. Markanday
- 18L. Marsh
- 31J. Randall
- 6J. Simpson
- 33R. Hutton
- 19L. Gordon
- 5K. McFadzean
- 23R. Boot
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 06:12 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Walsall have 5 wins, 9 draws and 1 defeat; Chesterfield have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Swindon Town(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Fulham U21(home) | 3-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Tranmere(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Stevenage(home) | 1-6 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Port Vale(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Crawley Town(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tranmere(home) | 4-2 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cheltenham(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Port Vale(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Walsall wins, 2 draws, 0 Chesterfield wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Chesterfield 2-2 Walsall | League Two |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Walsall 1-0 Chesterfield | League Two |
| May 16, 2025 | Walsall 2-1 Chesterfield | League Two |
| May 11, 2025 | Chesterfield 0-2 Walsall | League Two |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Walsall 3-1 Chesterfield | League Two |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Chesterfield 2-2 Walsall | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Chesterfield vs Walsall on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Walsall score 1.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Chesterfield score 1.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walsall | 1.2 | 1.0 | 8 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Chesterfield | 1.6 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Walsall sit 5th in League Two (16 points from 10 matches) and Chesterfield sit 7th (15 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Walsall | 10 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 13 | 7 | 16 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 15 |
A question about Walsall vs Chesterfield?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Walsall vs Chesterfield?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chesterfield the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Walsall.
- Where and when is Walsall vs Chesterfield played?
- Walsall vs Chesterfield is played on December 29, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Poundland Bescot Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.