Walsall vs Chesterfield: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 29, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Poundland Bescot Stadium, Walsall, West Midlands
The Footlab model makes Walsall the favourite at 35%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Chesterfield. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Walsall vs Chesterfield?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Walsall (1,739) and Chesterfield (1,791).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Walsall have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Chesterfield have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Grimsby(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gillingham(away) | 3-0 | League Two |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Bristol City(away) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Notts County(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | AFC Telford United(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Salford City(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Scunthorpe(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 14, 2026 | FC Halifax Town(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Walsall win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Chesterfield win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Chesterfield 2-2 Walsall | League Two |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Walsall 1-0 Chesterfield | League Two |
| May 16, 2025 | Walsall 2-1 Chesterfield | League Two |
| May 11, 2025 | Chesterfield 0-2 Walsall | League Two |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Walsall 3-1 Chesterfield | League Two |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Chesterfield 2-2 Walsall | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Chesterfield vs Walsall on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Walsall score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Chesterfield score 0.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walsall | 0.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Chesterfield | 0.9 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Walsall sit 3rd in League Two (4 points from 2 matches) and Chesterfield sit 16th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Walsall | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 | Chesterfield | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Walsall vs Chesterfield?
- The Footlab model makes Walsall the favourite at 35%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Chesterfield.
- Where and when is Walsall vs Chesterfield played?
- Walsall vs Chesterfield is played on December 29, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Poundland Bescot Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.