Port Vale vs Bristol Rovers: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 29, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Vale Park, Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Port Vale the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Bristol Rovers. The most likely score is 1-1. If Port Vale wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,623 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Port Vale vs Bristol Rovers?
Port Vale starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,784 vs 1,676).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Port Vale vs Bristol Rovers
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Port Vale
3-5-2- 11O. Hernández
- 36M. Watters
- 6J. Lawrence-Gabriel
- 3J. Headley
- 33G. Hall
- 10K. Dempsey
- 7G. Byers
- 25C. Humphreys
- 4J. Moon
- 5C. Hall
- 20M. Maroši
Bristol Rovers
3-4-1-2- 29F. Cavegn
- 28A. Appiah
- 2T. James
- 6C. Mola
- 7S. Forde
- 3J. Sparkes
- 21R. Smallwood
- 17C. Kelly
- 5A. Kilgour
- 4K. Balmer
- 1Brad Young
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 03:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Port Vale have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Bristol Rovers have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Rochdale(home) | 4-2 | League Two |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Manchester City U21(home) | 5-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 24, 2026 | York(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Gillingham(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Chesterfield(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Swindon Town(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Salford City(home) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Shrewsbury(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Barnet(home) | 1-3 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Port Vale wins, 0 draws, 3 Bristol Rovers wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | Port Vale 1-0 Bristol Rovers | FA Cup |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Port Vale 2-0 Bristol Rovers | League One |
| Oct 3, 2023 | Bristol Rovers 3-0 Port Vale | League One |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Port Vale 2-0 Bristol Rovers | League One |
| Dec 10, 2022 | Bristol Rovers 1-0 Port Vale | League One |
| Apr 18, 2022 | Port Vale 1-3 Bristol Rovers | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Port Vale vs Bristol Rovers on Dec 6, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Port Vale score 1.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Bristol Rovers score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Port Vale | 1.2 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Bristol Rovers | 1.2 | 1.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Port Vale sit 19th in League Two (15 points from 12 matches) and Bristol Rovers sit 17th (16 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 23 | 16 |
| 19 | Port Vale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 15 |
A question about Port Vale vs Bristol Rovers?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Port Vale vs Bristol Rovers?
- The Footlab AI model makes Port Vale the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Bristol Rovers.
- Where and when is Port Vale vs Bristol Rovers played?
- Port Vale vs Bristol Rovers is played on December 29, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Vale Park, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.