Swindon Town vs Exeter City: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 29, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The County Ground, Swindon, Wiltshire
The Footlab AI model makes Swindon Town the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Exeter City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Swindon Town wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,846 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Swindon Town vs Exeter City?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Swindon Town (1,769) and Exeter City (1,811).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Swindon Town vs Exeter City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Swindon Town
4-3-3- 23A. Drinan
- 29A. Hackford
- 34B. Kirkman
- 25J. Thomson
- 27A. Munda
- 8O. Clarke
- 5S. Negru
- 6J. Ball
- 2M. Clark
- 26D. Butler
- 1C. Ripley
Exeter City
4-2-3-1- 10J. Gordon
- 16C. Cummins
- 31J. Doyle-Hayes
- 8T. Perry
- 20George Birch
- 25A. Scully
- 3L. Woodhouse
- 5J. Fitzwater
- 2L. Samuel
- 6J. Taylor
- 1J. Bycroft
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 10:43 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Swindon Town have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Exeter City have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Walsall(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Crewe(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rochdale(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Accrington ST(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Newport County(home) | 0-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Colchester(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Shrewsbury(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 2-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rotherham(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Swindon Town win, 0 draws, 5 Exeter City wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2024 | Exeter City 2-1 Swindon Town | EFL Trophy |
| Nov 21, 2023 | Swindon Town 0-1 Exeter City | EFL Trophy |
| Mar 8, 2022 | Exeter City 3-1 Swindon Town | League Two |
| Feb 5, 2022 | Swindon Town 1-2 Exeter City | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2020 | Swindon Town 3-4 Exeter City | EFL Trophy |
| Feb 1, 2020 | Swindon Town 2-1 Exeter City | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Exeter City vs Swindon Town on Sep 3, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Swindon Town score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Exeter City score 0.8 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swindon Town | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Exeter City | 0.8 | 0.8 | 7 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Swindon Town sit 18th in League Two (12 points from 11 matches) and Exeter City sit 16th (13 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Exeter City | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 13 |
| 18 | Swindon Town | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 12 |
A question about Swindon Town vs Exeter City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Swindon Town vs Exeter City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Swindon Town the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Exeter City.
- Where and when is Swindon Town vs Exeter City played?
- Swindon Town vs Exeter City is played on December 29, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The County Ground, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.