Northampton vs Cheltenham: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 29, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Sixfields Stadium, Northampton, East Midlands
The Footlab AI model makes Northampton the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Cheltenham. The most likely score is 1-1. If Northampton wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,461 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Northampton vs Cheltenham?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Northampton (1,702) and Cheltenham (1,752).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Northampton vs Cheltenham
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Northampton
4-4-2- 19O. Dale
- 9Matthew Warhurst
- 16J. Wormleighton
- 4J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh
- 8L. Evans
- 24C. Lemonheigh-Evans
- 6E. Moore
- 5J. Guthrie
- 22Joshua Alan Powell
- 44J. Donacien
- 1Z. Jeacock
Cheltenham
4-1-4-1- 18A. Weimann
- 7B. Stevenson
- 19J. Evans
- 26J. Shipley
- 14R. Broom
- 8C. McCann
- 3J. Tomkinson
- 25P. Sweeney
- 5R. Cundy
- 6J. Wilson
- 23W. Stanway
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 06:24 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Northampton have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Cheltenham have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | York(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Cambridge United(away) | 1-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rotherham(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Shrewsbury(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Newport County(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Tottenham Hotspur U21(home) | 2-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Salford City(home) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Accrington ST(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Chesterfield(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Exeter City(home) | 2-2 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Northampton wins, 0 draws, 3 Cheltenham wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2024 | Cheltenham 2-0 Northampton | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 1, 2024 | Northampton 1-0 Cheltenham | League One |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Cheltenham 0-1 Northampton | League One |
| Jul 23, 2022 | Cheltenham 2-0 Northampton | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 22, 2020 | Cheltenham 0-3 Northampton | League Two |
| Jun 18, 2020 | Northampton 0-2 Cheltenham | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Cheltenham vs Northampton on Aug 3, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Northampton score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Cheltenham score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northampton | 0.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Cheltenham | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Northampton sit 23rd in League Two (7 points from 8 matches) and Cheltenham sit 8th (15 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cheltenham | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 15 |
| 23 | Northampton | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
A question about Northampton vs Cheltenham?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Northampton vs Cheltenham?
- The Footlab AI model makes Northampton the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Cheltenham.
- Where and when is Northampton vs Cheltenham played?
- Northampton vs Cheltenham is played on December 29, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Sixfields Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.