Colchester vs Crawley Town: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 29, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)JobServe Community Stadium, Colchester, Essex
The Footlab AI model makes Colchester the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Crawley Town. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Colchester vs Crawley Town?
On Elo ratings, Colchester has 1,799 points and Crawley Town 1,716.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Colchester vs Crawley Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Colchester
4-2-3-1- 9B. Ihionvien
- 12M. Sesay
- 26J. Williams
- 27O. Thorn
- 15B. Lubala
- 6P. Digby
- 3E. Iandolo
- 5J. Tucker
- 2R. Hunt
- 24F. Terry
- 22T. Lo-Tutala
Crawley Town
4-2-3-1- 9D. Orsi
- 20J. Arthurs
- 22A. Adeyemo
- 10S. Duke-McKenna
- 30Kai Jennings
- 28Nathan Tinsdale
- 6P. Farquharson
- 12L. Richards
- 16J. Russell
- 2K. Gordon
- 1V. Mannone
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 12:36 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colchester have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Crawley Town have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Northampton(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Chesterfield(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Exeter City(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Newport County(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Luton(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Tranmere(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Shrewsbury(home) | 2-3 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Salford City(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Chesterfield(home) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Bromley(home) | 4-0 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Colchester win, 4 draws, 1 Crawley Town win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | Colchester 0-0 Crawley Town | League Two |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Crawley Town 1-1 Colchester | League Two |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Crawley Town 2-3 Colchester | League Two |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Colchester 1-2 Crawley Town | League Two |
| Apr 18, 2023 | Crawley Town 0-0 Colchester | League Two |
| Oct 25, 2022 | Colchester 2-2 Crawley Town | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Colchester vs Crawley Town on Mar 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Colchester score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Crawley Town score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colchester | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Crawley Town | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Colchester sit 21st in League Two (12 points from 12 matches) and Crawley Town sit 24th (6 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Colchester | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 6 |
A question about Colchester vs Crawley Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Colchester vs Crawley Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Colchester the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Crawley Town.
- Where and when is Colchester vs Crawley Town played?
- Colchester vs Crawley Town is played on December 29, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at JobServe Community Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.