Atletico Grau vs ADT: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Campeones del '36, Sullana
The Footlab model makes Atletico Grau the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for ADT. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atletico Grau vs ADT?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Atletico Grau (1,621) and ADT (1,599).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Grau have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; ADT have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Cajamarca(away) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Comerciantes Unidos(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Juan Pablo II College(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sport Boys(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sport Huancayo(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Juan Pablo II College(away) | 1-5 | Primera División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alianza Atletico(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | UTC Cajamarca(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Deportivo Garcilaso(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sport Boys(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Atletico Grau win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 ADT win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | ADT 1-0 Atletico Grau | Primera División |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Atletico Grau 2-0 ADT | Primera División |
| Feb 15, 2025 | ADT 4-3 Atletico Grau | Primera División |
| Aug 4, 2024 | ADT 1-2 Atletico Grau | Primera División |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Atletico Grau 2-2 ADT | Primera División |
| Jul 23, 2023 | ADT 1-0 Atletico Grau | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Grau score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; ADT score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Grau | 1.2 | 0.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| ADT | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico Grau sit 16th in Primera División (16 points from 17 matches) and ADT sit 10th (20 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Atletico Grau | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 21 | 20 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 21 | 20 |
| 12 | Atletico Grau | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 23 | 26 |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 16 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 16 |
| 16 | ADT | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 26 | 33 | 22 |
| 18 | ADT | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
| 18 | ADT | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atletico Grau vs ADT?
- The Footlab model makes Atletico Grau the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for ADT.
- Where and when is Atletico Grau vs ADT played?
- Atletico Grau vs ADT is played on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Campeones del '36, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026UTC CajamarcavsFBC Melgar
- Oct 24, 2026UniversitariovsJuan Pablo II College
- Oct 24, 2026Sport BoysvsFC Cajamarca
- Oct 24, 2026Sport HuancayovsAlianza Atletico
- Oct 24, 2026Comerciantes UnidosvsCienciano
- Oct 24, 2026CuscovsSporting Cristal
- Oct 24, 2026Deportivo GarcilasovsClub Deportivo Los Chankas
- Oct 24, 2026UCV MoqueguavsAlianza Lima