Atletico Grau vs ADT: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Campeones del '36, Sullana
The Footlab AI model makes Atletico Grau the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for ADT. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atletico Grau wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atletico Grau vs ADT?
On Elo ratings, Atletico Grau has 1,609 points and ADT 1,556.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atletico Grau vs ADT
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atletico Grau
4-2-3-1- 99A. Fernández
- 5R. Guarderas
- 13F. Oncoy
- 20A. Vásquez
- 8C. Vásquez
- 24Yamir Ruidíaz Misitich
- 27R. Tapia
- 3I. Tapia
- 25G. Alfaro
- 16J. Ataupillco
- 1P. Álvarez
ADT
4-2-3-1- 24S. Peralta
- 23J. Narváez
- 77Juan David Lucumí Cuero
- 16L. Pérez
- 7J. Rojas
- 18Aylton Mazzo
- 59O. Núñez
- 44H. Benincasa
- 98A. Ramos
- 99J. Pereyra
- 30J. Valencia
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 09:03 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Grau have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; ADT have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sporting Cristal(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Alianza Atletico(home) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Deportivo Garcilaso(away) | 2-4 | Primera División |
| Sep 1, 2026 | FBC Melgar(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | FC Cajamarca(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Sporting Cristal(away) | 0-5 | Copa De La Liga |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sporting Cristal(home) | 0-1 | Copa De La Liga |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Cienciano(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Alianza Lima(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Atletico Grau wins, 1 draw, 3 ADT wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | ADT 1-0 Atletico Grau | Primera División |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Atletico Grau 2-0 ADT | Primera División |
| Feb 15, 2025 | ADT 4-3 Atletico Grau | Primera División |
| Aug 4, 2024 | ADT 1-2 Atletico Grau | Primera División |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Atletico Grau 2-2 ADT | Primera División |
| Jul 23, 2023 | ADT 1-0 Atletico Grau | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Grau score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; ADT score 0.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Grau | 1.4 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| ADT | 0.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico Grau sit 13th in Primera División (33 points from 28 matches) and ADT sit 16th (26 points from 28 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Atletico Grau | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 26 | 31 | 33 |
| 16 | ADT | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 29 | 42 | 26 |
A question about Atletico Grau vs ADT?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atletico Grau vs ADT?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atletico Grau the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for ADT.
- Where and when is Atletico Grau vs ADT played?
- Atletico Grau vs ADT is played on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Campeones del '36, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026UTC CajamarcavsFBC Melgar
- Oct 24, 2026UniversitariovsJuan Pablo II College
- Oct 24, 2026Sport BoysvsFC Cajamarca
- Oct 24, 2026Sport HuancayovsAlianza Atletico
- Oct 24, 2026Comerciantes UnidosvsCienciano
- Oct 24, 2026CuscovsSporting Cristal
- Oct 24, 2026Deportivo GarcilasovsClub Deportivo Los Chankas
- Oct 24, 2026UCV MoqueguavsAlianza Lima