Match

Atletico Grau vs ADT: prediction and stats

Primera DivisiónClausura - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Campeones del '36, Sullana

Atletico GrauADT

The Footlab model makes Atletico Grau the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for ADT. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Atletico Grau vs ADT?

A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Atletico Grau (1,621) and ADT (1,599).

Atletico Grau win53 %
Draw25 %
ADT win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Grau have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; ADT have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Atletico Grau
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026FC Cajamarca(away)3-1Primera División
Aug 14, 2026Comerciantes Unidos(home)1-0Primera División
Aug 8, 2026Juan Pablo II College(away)0-0Primera División
Aug 1, 2026Sport Boys(home)0-1Primera División
Jul 25, 2026Sport Huancayo(away)0-2Primera División
ADT
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Juan Pablo II College(away)1-5Primera División
Aug 15, 2026Alianza Atletico(home)1-1Primera División
Aug 8, 2026UTC Cajamarca(away)1-1Primera División
Aug 2, 2026Deportivo Garcilaso(home)0-1Primera División
Jul 25, 2026Sport Boys(away)0-2Primera División

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Atletico Grau win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 ADT win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 2, 2026ADT 1-0 Atletico GrauPrimera División
Aug 31, 2025Atletico Grau 2-0 ADTPrimera División
Feb 15, 2025ADT 4-3 Atletico GrauPrimera División
Aug 4, 2024ADT 1-2 Atletico GrauPrimera División
Feb 25, 2024Atletico Grau 2-2 ADTPrimera División
Jul 23, 2023ADT 1-0 Atletico GrauPrimera División

Last archived meeting: ADT vs Atletico Grau on May 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Atletico Grau score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; ADT score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Atletico Grau1.20.946/155/15
ADT1.21.348/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Atletico Grau sit 16th in Primera División (16 points from 17 matches) and ADT sit 10th (20 points from 17 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Atletico Grau63127510
10ADT17557222120
10ADT17557222120
12Atletico Grau237511192326
14Atletico Grau4112344
16Atletico Grau17449121816
16Atletico Grau17449121816
16ADT235711263322
18ADT4013261
18ADT60244122

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Atletico Grau vs ADT?
The Footlab model makes Atletico Grau the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for ADT.
Where and when is Atletico Grau vs ADT played?
Atletico Grau vs ADT is played on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Campeones del '36, in the Primera División.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Atletico Grau and ADT

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