AFC Emley vs Whitby Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Welfare Ground, Emley, West Yorkshire
The Footlab model makes AFC Emley the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Whitby Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFC Emley vs Whitby Town?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate AFC Emley (1,724) and Whitby Town (1,654).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Emley have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Whitby Town have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ashton United(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Leek Town(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Curzon Ashton(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Cleethorpes Town(away) | 0-6 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Warrington Town(home) | 0-5 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Ashton United(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Emley score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Whitby Town score 0.8 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Emley | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Whitby Town | 0.8 | 2.1 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AFC Emley sit 10th in Non League Premier - Northern (9 points from 6 matches) and Whitby Town sit 17th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | AFC Emley | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 17 | Whitby Town | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFC Emley vs Whitby Town?
- The Footlab model makes AFC Emley the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Whitby Town.
- Where and when is AFC Emley vs Whitby Town played?
- AFC Emley vs Whitby Town is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Welfare Ground, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.