AFC Leopards vs APS Bomet: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 25, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Nyayo National Stadium, Nairobi
The Footlab AI model makes APS Bomet the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for AFC Leopards. The most likely score is 1-1. If APS Bomet wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFC Leopards vs APS Bomet?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate AFC Leopards (1,596) and APS Bomet (1,525).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AFC Leopards vs APS Bomet
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AFC Leopards
Not enough data to predict the AFC Leopards lineup.
APS Bomet
Not enough data to predict the APS Bomet lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:10 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Leopards have 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; APS Bomet have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Bidco United(home) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 24, 2026 | APS Bomet(away) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 16, 2026 | Homeboyz(away) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 13, 2026 | Ulinzi Stars(away) | 2-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 9, 2026 | Mara Sugar(home) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Mathare United(away) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 31, 2026 | Tusker(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 24, 2026 | AFC Leopards(home) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 20, 2026 | Bandari(away) | 2-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Mathare United(away) | 2-0 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 AFC Leopards win, 0 draws, 1 APS Bomet win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | APS Bomet 2-1 AFC Leopards | FKF Premier League |
| Jan 17, 2026 | AFC Leopards 2-1 APS Bomet | FKF Premier League |
Last archived meeting: APS Bomet vs AFC Leopards on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Leopards score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; APS Bomet score 1.0 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Leopards | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| APS Bomet | 1.0 | 0.4 | 10 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | APS Bomet | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
A question about AFC Leopards vs APS Bomet?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFC Leopards vs APS Bomet?
- The Footlab AI model makes APS Bomet the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for AFC Leopards.
- Where and when is AFC Leopards vs APS Bomet played?
- AFC Leopards vs APS Bomet is played on November 25, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Nyayo National Stadium, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.