APS Bomet vs Tusker: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Bomet Stadium, Bomet
The Footlab AI model makes APS Bomet the favourite at 36%, against 34% for a draw and 30% for Tusker. The most likely score is 0-0. If APS Bomet wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win APS Bomet vs Tusker?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate APS Bomet (1,525) and Tusker (1,559).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for APS Bomet vs Tusker
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
APS Bomet
Not enough data to predict the APS Bomet lineup.
Tusker
Not enough data to predict the Tusker lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 03:05 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, APS Bomet have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Tusker have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Mathare United(away) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 31, 2026 | Tusker(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 24, 2026 | AFC Leopards(home) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 20, 2026 | Bandari(away) | 2-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Mathare United(away) | 2-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ulinzi Stars(away) | 2-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Al Ahli Wad Medani(home) | 1-0 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Al Ahli Wad Medani(away) | 2-2 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | KVZ(home) | 2-0 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Rayon Sports(home) | 0-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 APS Bomet wins, 1 draw, 1 Tusker win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Tusker 1-1 APS Bomet | FKF Premier League |
| Dec 21, 2025 | APS Bomet 0-1 Tusker | FKF Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
APS Bomet score 1.0 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Tusker score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 28% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| APS Bomet | 1.0 | 0.4 | 10 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Tusker | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
APS Bomet sit 10th in FKF Premier League (1 point from 1 match) and Tusker sit 1st (3 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tusker | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | APS Bomet | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
A question about APS Bomet vs Tusker?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for APS Bomet vs Tusker?
- The Footlab AI model makes APS Bomet the favourite at 36%, against 34% for a draw and 30% for Tusker.
- Where and when is APS Bomet vs Tusker played?
- APS Bomet vs Tusker is played on November 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Bomet Stadium, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 28% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.