Ulinzi Stars vs KCB: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 25, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Afraha Stadium, Nakuru
The Footlab AI model makes KCB the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Ulinzi Stars. The most likely score is 1-1. If KCB wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,919 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ulinzi Stars vs KCB?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Ulinzi Stars (1,471) and KCB (1,490).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ulinzi Stars vs KCB
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ulinzi Stars
Not enough data to predict the Ulinzi Stars lineup.
KCB
Not enough data to predict the KCB lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 06:41 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ulinzi Stars have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; KCB have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Homeboyz(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Tusker(home) | 0-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 31, 2026 | Posta Rangers FC(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 27, 2026 | Tusker(home) | 2-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Mathare United(home) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Mathare United(home) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Nairobi United(away) | 2-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Bandari(home) | 0-2 | Shield Cup |
| May 31, 2026 | Shabana(away) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 27, 2026 | Sofapaka(away) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ulinzi Stars win, 2 draws, 3 KCB wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | KCB 2-3 Ulinzi Stars | FKF Premier League |
| Dec 11, 2025 | Ulinzi Stars 1-2 KCB | FKF Premier League |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Ulinzi Stars 1-2 KCB | FKF Premier League |
| Sep 29, 2024 | KCB 1-0 Ulinzi Stars | FKF Premier League |
| Jan 14, 2024 | Ulinzi Stars 0-0 KCB | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 21, 2023 | KCB 1-1 Ulinzi Stars | FKF Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Ulinzi Stars score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; KCB score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ulinzi Stars | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| KCB | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ulinzi Stars sit 16th in FKF Premier League (1 point from 2 matches) and KCB sit 3rd (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | KCB | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 16 | Ulinzi Stars | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
A question about Ulinzi Stars vs KCB?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ulinzi Stars vs KCB?
- The Footlab AI model makes KCB the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Ulinzi Stars.
- Where and when is Ulinzi Stars vs KCB played?
- Ulinzi Stars vs KCB is played on November 25, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Afraha Stadium, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.