Águilas Doradas vs Chico: prediction and stats
Primera AClausura - 8Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Alberto Grisales, Rionegro, Antioquia
The Footlab model makes Águilas Doradas the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Chico. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Águilas Doradas vs Chico?
Águilas Doradas starts as the favourite with a 150-point Elo edge (1,731 vs 1,581).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Águilas Doradas have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Chico have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Millonarios(home) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Llaneros(home) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Deportivo Pasto(away) | 2-1 | Primera A |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Santa Fe(home) | 2-1 | Primera A |
| May 26, 2026 | Real Soacha(away) | 2-2 | Copa Colombia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Jaguares(away) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Santa Fe(away) | 0-2 | Primera A |
| Aug 2, 2026 | America de Cali(away) | 0-7 | Primera A |
| May 27, 2026 | Llaneros(home) | 0-1 | Copa Colombia |
| May 23, 2026 | Millonarios(away) | 2-2 | Copa Colombia |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Águilas Doradas win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Chico win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Chico 0-1 Águilas Doradas | Primera A |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Águilas Doradas 2-0 Chico | Primera A |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Chico 1-1 Águilas Doradas | Primera A |
| Nov 11, 2024 | Águilas Doradas 0-1 Chico | Primera A |
| Oct 2, 2024 | Águilas Doradas 1-0 Chico | Copa Colombia |
| Sep 19, 2024 | Chico 2-1 Águilas Doradas | Copa Colombia |
Last archived meeting: Chico vs Águilas Doradas on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Águilas Doradas score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Chico score 0.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Águilas Doradas | 1.4 | 1.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Chico | 0.8 | 1.7 | 5 | 2/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Águilas Doradas sit 12th in Primera A (26 points from 19 matches) and Chico sit 18th (17 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Águilas Doradas | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 25 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 25 | 26 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 17 |
| 20 | Chico | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Águilas Doradas vs Chico?
- The Footlab model makes Águilas Doradas the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Chico.
- Where and when is Águilas Doradas vs Chico played?
- Águilas Doradas vs Chico is played on August 30, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Alberto Grisales, in the Primera A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Aug 30, 2026Alianza ValleduparvsAtletico Nacional
- Aug 30, 2026Fortaleza FCvsOnce Caldas
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- Aug 30, 2026Deportivo CalivsBucaramanga
- Aug 30, 2026Deportes TolimavsCucuta
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