Match

Águilas Doradas vs Chico: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 8Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Alberto Grisales, Rionegro, Antioquia

Águilas DoradasChico

The Footlab model makes Águilas Doradas the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Chico. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Águilas Doradas vs Chico?

Águilas Doradas starts as the favourite with a 150-point Elo edge (1,731 vs 1,581).

Águilas Doradas win63 %
Draw23 %
Chico win14 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Águilas Doradas have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Chico have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Águilas Doradas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Millonarios(home)1-1Primera A
Aug 19, 2026Llaneros(home)1-1Primera A
Aug 1, 2026Deportivo Pasto(away)2-1Primera A
Jul 26, 2026Santa Fe(home)2-1Primera A
May 26, 2026Real Soacha(away)2-2Copa Colombia
Chico
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Jaguares(away)0-1Primera A
Aug 8, 2026Santa Fe(away)0-2Primera A
Aug 2, 2026America de Cali(away)0-7Primera A
May 27, 2026Llaneros(home)0-1Copa Colombia
May 23, 2026Millonarios(away)2-2Copa Colombia

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Águilas Doradas win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Chico win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 22, 2026Chico 0-1 Águilas DoradasPrimera A
Aug 16, 2025Águilas Doradas 2-0 ChicoPrimera A
Mar 1, 2025Chico 1-1 Águilas DoradasPrimera A
Nov 11, 2024Águilas Doradas 0-1 ChicoPrimera A
Oct 2, 2024Águilas Doradas 1-0 ChicoCopa Colombia
Sep 19, 2024Chico 2-1 Águilas DoradasCopa Colombia

Last archived meeting: Chico vs Águilas Doradas on Feb 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Águilas Doradas score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Chico score 0.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Águilas Doradas1.41.4211/159/15
Chico0.81.752/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Águilas Doradas sit 12th in Primera A (26 points from 19 matches) and Chico sit 18th (17 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Águilas Doradas4220648
12Águilas Doradas19757202526
12Águilas Doradas19757202526
18Chico195212153217
18Chico195212153217
20Chico30030100

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Águilas Doradas vs Chico?
The Footlab model makes Águilas Doradas the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Chico.
Where and when is Águilas Doradas vs Chico played?
Águilas Doradas vs Chico is played on August 30, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Alberto Grisales, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Águilas Doradas and Chico

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