Where and when is Deportes Tolima vs Cucuta played?

Deportes Tolima vs Cucuta is played on August 31, 2026 at 01:20 AM (UTC) at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, in the Primera A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Deportes Tolima vs Cucuta: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 8Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 01:20 AM (UTC)Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, Ibagué

Deportes Tolima

Cucuta

The Footlab model makes Deportes Tolima the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Cucuta. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Deportes Tolima vs Cucuta?

Deportes Tolima starts as the favourite with a 177-point Elo edge (1,814 vs 1,637).

Deportes Tolima win59 %

Draw25 %

Cucuta win15 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportes Tolima have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Cucuta have 3, 7 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Deportes Tolima
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Bucaramanga(home)	0-0	Primera A
Aug 19, 2026	Independiente del Valle(home)	0-1	CONMEBOL Libertadores
Aug 8, 2026	Internacional de Bogota(home)	2-1	Primera A
Aug 4, 2026	Independiente Medellin(home)	2-3	Primera A
Aug 1, 2026	Alianza Valledupar(away)	2-1	Primera A

Cucuta
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Independiente Medellin(away)	1-0	Primera A
Aug 19, 2026	Internacional de Bogota(home)	1-1	Primera A
Aug 8, 2026	Fortaleza FC(away)	0-2	Primera A
Aug 4, 2026	Bucaramanga(away)	1-1	Primera A
Jul 27, 2026	Once Caldas(away)	1-5	Primera A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Deportes Tolima win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Cucuta win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 23, 2026	Cucuta 3-2 Deportes Tolima	Primera A
Nov 19, 2020	Cucuta 0-3 Deportes Tolima	Copa Colombia
Oct 11, 2020	Cucuta 0-3 Deportes Tolima	Primera A
Nov 20, 2019	Deportes Tolima 0-1 Cucuta	Primera A
Nov 18, 2019	Cucuta 0-0 Deportes Tolima	Primera A
Oct 19, 2019	Deportes Tolima 2-1 Cucuta	Primera A

Last archived meeting: Cucuta vs Deportes Tolima on Feb 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Deportes Tolima score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Cucuta score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Deportes Tolima	1.2	1.1	5	7/15	9/15
Cucuta	0.7	1.3	6	6/15	3/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Deportes Tolima sit 6th in Primera A (31 points from 19 matches) and Cucuta sit 19th (16 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Deportes Tolima	5	3	1	1	8	6	10
3	Deportes Tolima	23	10	7	6	31	21	37
6	Deportes Tolima	19	8	7	4	27	17	31
14	Cucuta	5	1	2	2	4	9	5
19	Cucuta	19	3	7	9	22	35	16
19	Cucuta	19	3	7	9	22	35	16

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Deportes Tolima vs Cucuta?: The Footlab model makes Deportes Tolima the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Cucuta.
Where and when is Deportes Tolima vs Cucuta played?: Deportes Tolima vs Cucuta is played on August 31, 2026 at 01:20 AM (UTC) at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.