Match

Junior vs Santa Fe: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 8Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez, Barranquilla

JuniorSanta Fe

The Footlab model makes Junior the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Santa Fe. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Junior vs Santa Fe?

A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Junior (1,787) and Santa Fe (1,853).

Junior win38 %
Draw29 %
Santa Fe win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Junior have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Santa Fe have 7, 7 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Junior
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 2, 2026Millonarios(home)0-1Primera A
Jul 29, 2026Barranquilla(away)3-3Copa Colombia
Jul 26, 2026Deportes Tolima(away)1-2Primera A
Jul 23, 2026Barranquilla(home)2-2Copa Colombia
Jun 8, 2026Atletico Nacional(away)0-1Primera A
Santa Fe
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026America de Cali(home)0-0Primera A
Aug 20, 2026River Plate(home)0-0CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Aug 8, 2026Chico(home)2-0Primera A
Aug 6, 2026Union Magdalena(home)2-0Copa Colombia
Aug 3, 2026Once Caldas(home)2-2Primera A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Junior win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Santa Fe win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026Junior 0-0 Santa FePrimera A
May 17, 2026Santa Fe 1-1 JuniorPrimera A
Feb 22, 2026Santa Fe 2-1 JuniorPrimera A
Jan 22, 2026Santa Fe 3-0 JuniorSuperliga
Jan 16, 2026Junior 1-1 Santa FeSuperliga
Oct 29, 2025Junior 1-2 Santa FePrimera A

Last archived meeting: Junior vs Santa Fe on May 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Junior score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Santa Fe score 1.5 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Junior1.41.638/158/15
Santa Fe1.50.596/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Junior sit 2nd in Primera A (35 points from 19 matches) and Santa Fe sit 7th (29 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Junior191126312435
2Junior251357382844
4Santa Fe238114352435
7Santa Fe19784292229
10Santa Fe4121545
18Junior2002130

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Junior vs Santa Fe?
The Footlab model makes Junior the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Santa Fe.
Where and when is Junior vs Santa Fe played?
Junior vs Santa Fe is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Junior and Santa Fe

Ready to know everything about football?