Match

Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Pereira: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 8Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Departamental Libertad, San Juan de Pasto

Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pereira

The Footlab model makes Deportivo Pasto the favourite at 62%, against 25% for a draw and 13% for Deportivo Pereira. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Pereira?

A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Deportivo Pasto (1,662) and Deportivo Pereira (1,614).

Deportivo Pasto win62 %
Draw25 %
Deportivo Pereira win13 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Pasto have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; Deportivo Pereira have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Deportivo Pasto
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Llaneros(home)0-1Primera A
Aug 9, 2026Deportivo Cali(home)0-2Primera A
Aug 5, 2026Millonarios(away)0-2Primera A
Aug 1, 2026Águilas Doradas(home)1-2Primera A
Jul 29, 2026Bogota FC(away)3-0Copa Colombia
Deportivo Pereira
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Alianza Valledupar(away)0-0Primera A
Aug 1, 2026Fortaleza FC(away)0-0Primera A
Jul 24, 2026Llaneros(away)0-1Primera A
May 26, 2026Jaguares(home)1-0Copa Colombia
May 21, 2026Águilas Doradas(away)1-1Copa Colombia

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Deportivo Pasto win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Deportivo Pereira win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 21, 2026Deportivo Pereira 2-2 Deportivo PastoPrimera A
Oct 28, 2025Deportivo Pasto 4-0 Deportivo PereiraPrimera A
May 14, 2025Deportivo Pereira 1-0 Deportivo PastoPrimera A
Jul 29, 2024Deportivo Pasto 2-0 Deportivo PereiraPrimera A
Jan 31, 2024Deportivo Pereira 0-1 Deportivo PastoPrimera A
Sep 13, 2023Deportivo Pereira 2-1 Deportivo PastoPrimera A

Last archived meeting: Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Pasto on Feb 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Deportivo Pasto score 1.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Pereira score 0.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Deportivo Pasto1.01.636/157/15
Deportivo Pereira0.60.964/152/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Deportivo Pasto sit 3rd in Primera A (34 points from 19 matches) and Deportivo Pereira sit 20th (10 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Deportivo Pasto191045292534
7Deportivo Pasto211047292834
16Deportivo Pereira3021012
19Deportivo Pasto50053100
20Deportivo Pereira191711153210
20Deportivo Pereira191711153210

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Pereira?
The Footlab model makes Deportivo Pasto the favourite at 62%, against 25% for a draw and 13% for Deportivo Pereira.
Where and when is Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Pereira played?
Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Pereira is played on August 31, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Departamental Libertad, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Deportivo Pasto and Deportivo Pereira

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