Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Pereira: prediction and stats
Primera AClausura - 8Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Departamental Libertad, San Juan de Pasto
The Footlab model makes Deportivo Pasto the favourite at 62%, against 25% for a draw and 13% for Deportivo Pereira. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Pereira?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Deportivo Pasto (1,662) and Deportivo Pereira (1,614).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Pasto have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; Deportivo Pereira have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Llaneros(home) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Deportivo Cali(home) | 0-2 | Primera A |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Millonarios(away) | 0-2 | Primera A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Águilas Doradas(home) | 1-2 | Primera A |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Bogota FC(away) | 3-0 | Copa Colombia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Alianza Valledupar(away) | 0-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Fortaleza FC(away) | 0-0 | Primera A |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Llaneros(away) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| May 26, 2026 | Jaguares(home) | 1-0 | Copa Colombia |
| May 21, 2026 | Águilas Doradas(away) | 1-1 | Copa Colombia |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Deportivo Pasto win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Deportivo Pereira win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Deportivo Pereira 2-2 Deportivo Pasto | Primera A |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Deportivo Pasto 4-0 Deportivo Pereira | Primera A |
| May 14, 2025 | Deportivo Pereira 1-0 Deportivo Pasto | Primera A |
| Jul 29, 2024 | Deportivo Pasto 2-0 Deportivo Pereira | Primera A |
| Jan 31, 2024 | Deportivo Pereira 0-1 Deportivo Pasto | Primera A |
| Sep 13, 2023 | Deportivo Pereira 2-1 Deportivo Pasto | Primera A |
Last archived meeting: Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Pasto on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo Pasto score 1.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Pereira score 0.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Pasto | 1.0 | 1.6 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Deportivo Pereira | 0.6 | 0.9 | 6 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportivo Pasto sit 3rd in Primera A (34 points from 19 matches) and Deportivo Pereira sit 20th (10 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 25 | 34 |
| 7 | Deportivo Pasto | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 34 |
| 16 | Deportivo Pereira | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pasto | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 32 | 10 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 32 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Pereira?
- The Footlab model makes Deportivo Pasto the favourite at 62%, against 25% for a draw and 13% for Deportivo Pereira.
- Where and when is Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Pereira played?
- Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Pereira is played on August 31, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Departamental Libertad, in the Primera A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 29, 2026JaguaresvsAmerica de Cali
- Aug 29, 2026JuniorvsSanta Fe
- Aug 30, 2026Alianza ValleduparvsAtletico Nacional
- Aug 30, 2026Águilas DoradasvsChico
- Aug 30, 2026Independiente MedellinvsLlaneros
- Aug 30, 2026MillonariosvsInternacional de Bogota
- Aug 31, 2026Deportivo CalivsBucaramanga
- Sep 1, 2026Deportes TolimavsCucuta