Deportivo Cali vs Bucaramanga: prediction and stats
Primera AClausura - 8Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Deportivo Cali, Palmira
The Footlab model makes Deportivo Cali the favourite at 50%, against 30% for a draw and 20% for Bucaramanga. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportivo Cali vs Bucaramanga?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Deportivo Cali (1,747) and Bucaramanga (1,740).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Cali have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Bucaramanga have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Deportivo Pasto(away) | 2-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Independiente Medellin(away) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Jaguares(home) | 2-0 | Primera A |
| May 24, 2026 | Real Santander(away) | 2-1 | Copa Colombia |
| May 21, 2026 | Alianza Valledupar(home) | 1-0 | Copa Colombia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Deportes Tolima(away) | 0-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Alianza Valledupar(away) | 3-2 | Primera A |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Cucuta(home) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Llaneros(home) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Millonarios(away) | 1-0 | Primera A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Deportivo Cali win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Bucaramanga win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2026 | Deportivo Cali 2-0 Bucaramanga | Copa Colombia |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Bucaramanga 0-0 Deportivo Cali | Primera A |
| Jul 28, 2025 | Bucaramanga 2-3 Deportivo Cali | Primera A |
| Jun 2, 2025 | Bucaramanga 3-1 Deportivo Cali | Copa Colombia |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Deportivo Cali 0-0 Bucaramanga | Primera A |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Deportivo Cali 1-0 Bucaramanga | Primera A |
Last archived meeting: Deportivo Cali vs Bucaramanga on May 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo Cali score 1.4 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Bucaramanga score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Cali | 1.4 | 0.6 | 6 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Bucaramanga | 1.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportivo Cali sit 9th in Primera A (27 points from 19 matches) and Bucaramanga sit 13th (23 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 9 |
| 8 | Deportivo Cali | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 16 | 27 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 16 | 27 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 20 | 23 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 20 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportivo Cali vs Bucaramanga?
- The Footlab model makes Deportivo Cali the favourite at 50%, against 30% for a draw and 20% for Bucaramanga.
- Where and when is Deportivo Cali vs Bucaramanga played?
- Deportivo Cali vs Bucaramanga is played on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Deportivo Cali, in the Primera A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 29, 2026JaguaresvsAmerica de Cali
- Aug 29, 2026JuniorvsSanta Fe
- Aug 30, 2026Alianza ValleduparvsAtletico Nacional
- Aug 30, 2026Águilas DoradasvsChico
- Aug 30, 2026Fortaleza FCvsOnce Caldas
- Aug 30, 2026Deportivo PastovsDeportivo Pereira
- Aug 30, 2026Deportes TolimavsCucuta
- Aug 30, 2026Independiente MedellinvsLlaneros