Match

Deportivo Cali vs Bucaramanga: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 8Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Deportivo Cali, Palmira

Deportivo CaliBucaramanga

The Footlab model makes Deportivo Cali the favourite at 50%, against 30% for a draw and 20% for Bucaramanga. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Deportivo Cali vs Bucaramanga?

A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Deportivo Cali (1,747) and Bucaramanga (1,740).

Deportivo Cali win50 %
Draw30 %
Bucaramanga win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Cali have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Bucaramanga have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Deportivo Cali
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 9, 2026Deportivo Pasto(away)2-0Primera A
Aug 1, 2026Independiente Medellin(away)0-1Primera A
Jul 25, 2026Jaguares(home)2-0Primera A
May 24, 2026Real Santander(away)2-1Copa Colombia
May 21, 2026Alianza Valledupar(home)1-0Copa Colombia
Bucaramanga
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Deportes Tolima(away)0-0Primera A
Aug 9, 2026Alianza Valledupar(away)3-2Primera A
Aug 4, 2026Cucuta(home)1-1Primera A
Jul 31, 2026Llaneros(home)1-1Primera A
Jul 25, 2026Millonarios(away)1-0Primera A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Deportivo Cali win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Bucaramanga win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 11, 2026Deportivo Cali 2-0 BucaramangaCopa Colombia
Feb 21, 2026Bucaramanga 0-0 Deportivo CaliPrimera A
Jul 28, 2025Bucaramanga 2-3 Deportivo CaliPrimera A
Jun 2, 2025Bucaramanga 3-1 Deportivo CaliCopa Colombia
Feb 15, 2025Deportivo Cali 0-0 BucaramangaPrimera A
Oct 27, 2024Deportivo Cali 1-0 BucaramangaPrimera A

Last archived meeting: Deportivo Cali vs Bucaramanga on May 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Deportivo Cali score 1.4 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Bucaramanga score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Deportivo Cali1.40.666/153/15
Bucaramanga1.51.448/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Deportivo Cali sit 9th in Primera A (27 points from 19 matches) and Bucaramanga sit 13th (23 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Bucaramanga5230649
8Deportivo Cali3201416
9Deportivo Cali19766201627
9Deportivo Cali19766201627
13Bucaramanga19586262023
13Bucaramanga19586262023

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Deportivo Cali vs Bucaramanga?
The Footlab model makes Deportivo Cali the favourite at 50%, against 30% for a draw and 20% for Bucaramanga.
Where and when is Deportivo Cali vs Bucaramanga played?
Deportivo Cali vs Bucaramanga is played on August 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Deportivo Cali, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Deportivo Cali and Bucaramanga

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