Match

Jaguares vs America de Cali: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 8Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 09:25 PM (UTC)Estadio de Fútbol Jaraguay de Montería, Montería

JaguaresAmerica de Cali

The Footlab model makes America de Cali the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Jaguares. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Jaguares vs America de Cali?

America de Cali starts as the favourite with a 215-point Elo edge (1,849 vs 1,634).

Jaguares win32 %
Draw30 %
America de Cali win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jaguares have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; America de Cali have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Jaguares
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Chico(home)1-0Primera A
Aug 9, 2026Once Caldas(home)1-1Primera A
Aug 5, 2026Internacional de Bogota(away)0-1Primera A
Aug 2, 2026Atletico Nacional(home)0-3Primera A
Jul 25, 2026Deportivo Cali(away)0-2Primera A
America de Cali
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Santa Fe(away)0-0Primera A
Aug 10, 2026Atletico Nacional(home)1-0Primera A
Aug 6, 2026Once Caldas(away)1-0Primera A
Aug 2, 2026Chico(home)7-0Primera A
Jul 30, 2026Real Cartagena(away)1-1Copa Colombia

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Jaguares win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 America de Cali win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 23, 2026America de Cali 3-0 JaguaresPrimera A
Sep 7, 2024America de Cali 1-0 JaguaresPrimera A
Feb 25, 2024Jaguares 1-1 America de CaliPrimera A
Sep 13, 2023Jaguares 0-1 America de CaliPrimera A
Apr 2, 2023America de Cali 0-0 JaguaresPrimera A
Oct 13, 2022America de Cali 1-1 JaguaresPrimera A

Last archived meeting: America de Cali vs Jaguares on Feb 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Jaguares score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; America de Cali score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Jaguares1.01.356/157/15
America de Cali1.30.885/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Jaguares sit 16th in Primera A (18 points from 19 matches) and America de Cali sit 4th (33 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1America de Cali541011013
4America de Cali191036251533
6America de Cali211047262034
15Jaguares5113274
16Jaguares195311203318
16Jaguares195311203318

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Jaguares vs America de Cali?
The Footlab model makes America de Cali the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Jaguares.
Where and when is Jaguares vs America de Cali played?
Jaguares vs America de Cali is played on August 29, 2026 at 09:25 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Fútbol Jaraguay de Montería, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Jaguares and America de Cali

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