Jaguares vs America de Cali: prediction and stats
Primera AClausura - 8Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 09:25 PM (UTC)Estadio de Fútbol Jaraguay de Montería, Montería
The Footlab model makes America de Cali the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Jaguares. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jaguares vs America de Cali?
America de Cali starts as the favourite with a 215-point Elo edge (1,849 vs 1,634).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jaguares have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; America de Cali have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Chico(home) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Once Caldas(home) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Internacional de Bogota(away) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Atletico Nacional(home) | 0-3 | Primera A |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Deportivo Cali(away) | 0-2 | Primera A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Santa Fe(away) | 0-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Atletico Nacional(home) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Once Caldas(away) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Chico(home) | 7-0 | Primera A |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Real Cartagena(away) | 1-1 | Copa Colombia |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Jaguares win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 America de Cali win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2026 | America de Cali 3-0 Jaguares | Primera A |
| Sep 7, 2024 | America de Cali 1-0 Jaguares | Primera A |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Jaguares 1-1 America de Cali | Primera A |
| Sep 13, 2023 | Jaguares 0-1 America de Cali | Primera A |
| Apr 2, 2023 | America de Cali 0-0 Jaguares | Primera A |
| Oct 13, 2022 | America de Cali 1-1 Jaguares | Primera A |
Last archived meeting: America de Cali vs Jaguares on Feb 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Jaguares score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; America de Cali score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguares | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| America de Cali | 1.3 | 0.8 | 8 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jaguares sit 16th in Primera A (18 points from 19 matches) and America de Cali sit 4th (33 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 13 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 15 | 33 |
| 6 | America de Cali | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 20 | 34 |
| 15 | Jaguares | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 4 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 33 | 18 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 33 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jaguares vs America de Cali?
- The Footlab model makes America de Cali the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Jaguares.
- Where and when is Jaguares vs America de Cali played?
- Jaguares vs America de Cali is played on August 29, 2026 at 09:25 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Fútbol Jaraguay de Montería, in the Primera A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 29, 2026JuniorvsSanta Fe
- Aug 30, 2026Alianza ValleduparvsAtletico Nacional
- Aug 30, 2026Águilas DoradasvsChico
- Aug 30, 2026Fortaleza FCvsOnce Caldas
- Aug 30, 2026Independiente MedellinvsLlaneros
- Aug 30, 2026MillonariosvsInternacional de Bogota
- Aug 31, 2026Deportes TolimavsCucuta
- Aug 31, 2026Deportivo PastovsDeportivo Pereira