Where and when is Alianza Valledupar vs Atletico Nacional played?

Alianza Valledupar vs Atletico Nacional is played on August 30, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC) at Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau, in the Primera A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Alianza Valledupar vs Atletico Nacional: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 8Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau, Valledupar

Alianza Valledupar

Atletico Nacional

The Footlab model makes Atletico Nacional the favourite at 49%, against 30% for a draw and 21% for Alianza Valledupar. The most likely score is 0-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Alianza Valledupar vs Atletico Nacional?

Atletico Nacional starts as the favourite with a 257-point Elo edge (1,916 vs 1,659).

Alianza Valledupar win21 %

Draw30 %

Atletico Nacional win49 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alianza Valledupar have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Atletico Nacional have 11, 0 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Alianza Valledupar
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Cucuta(away)	0-1	Primera A
Aug 22, 2026	Deportivo Pereira(home)	0-0	Primera A
Aug 9, 2026	Bucaramanga(home)	2-3	Primera A
Aug 1, 2026	Deportes Tolima(home)	1-2	Primera A
Jul 26, 2026	Fortaleza FC(home)	1-1	Primera A

Atletico Nacional
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Fortaleza FC(away)	2-1	Primera A
Aug 10, 2026	America de Cali(away)	0-1	Primera A
Aug 2, 2026	Jaguares(away)	3-0	Primera A
Jul 29, 2026	Tigres FC(away)	2-0	Copa Colombia
Jul 21, 2026	Tigres FC(home)	2-0	Copa Colombia

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Alianza Valledupar win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Atletico Nacional win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 21, 2026	Atletico Nacional 3-0 Alianza Valledupar	Primera A
Aug 8, 2025	Atletico Nacional 3-0 Alianza Valledupar	Primera A
Feb 23, 2025	Alianza Valledupar 3-2 Atletico Nacional	Primera A
Sep 20, 2024	Atletico Nacional 2-1 Alianza Valledupar	Copa Colombia
Sep 16, 2024	Alianza Valledupar 1-1 Atletico Nacional	Copa Colombia
Jul 18, 2024	Alianza Valledupar 0-2 Atletico Nacional	Primera A

Last archived meeting: Atletico Nacional vs Alianza Valledupar on Feb 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Alianza Valledupar score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Nacional score 1.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Alianza Valledupar	1.1	1.1	4	8/15	7/15
Atletico Nacional	1.9	0.8	6	5/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Alianza Valledupar sit 17th in Primera A (17 points from 19 matches) and Atletico Nacional sit 1st (40 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Atletico Nacional	19	13	1	5	35	15	40
1	Atletico Nacional	25	18	1	6	49	21	55
11	Atletico Nacional	3	2	0	1	5	2	6
17	Alianza Valledupar	19	3	8	8	13	27	17
17	Alianza Valledupar	5	0	2	3	4	7	2
17	Alianza Valledupar	19	3	8	8	13	27	17

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Alianza Valledupar vs Atletico Nacional?: The Footlab model makes Atletico Nacional the favourite at 49%, against 30% for a draw and 21% for Alianza Valledupar.
Where and when is Alianza Valledupar vs Atletico Nacional played?: Alianza Valledupar vs Atletico Nacional is played on August 30, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC) at Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.