Where and when is Águilas Doradas vs Fortaleza FC played?

Águilas Doradas vs Fortaleza FC is played on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Alberto Grisales, in the Primera A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Águilas Doradas vs Fortaleza FC: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 17Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Alberto Grisales, Rionegro, Antioquia

Águilas Doradas

Fortaleza FC

The Footlab model makes Águilas Doradas the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Fortaleza FC. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Águilas Doradas vs Fortaleza FC?

A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Águilas Doradas (1,727) and Fortaleza FC (1,677).

Águilas Doradas win53 %

Draw27 %

Fortaleza FC win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Águilas Doradas have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Fortaleza FC have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Águilas Doradas
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Millonarios(home)	1-1	Primera A
Aug 19, 2026	Llaneros(home)	1-1	Primera A
Aug 1, 2026	Deportivo Pasto(away)	2-1	Primera A
Jul 26, 2026	Santa Fe(home)	2-1	Primera A
May 26, 2026	Real Soacha(away)	2-2	Copa Colombia

Fortaleza FC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Atletico Nacional(home)	1-2	Primera A
Aug 8, 2026	Cucuta(home)	2-0	Primera A
Aug 4, 2026	Llaneros(away)	1-3	Primera A
Aug 1, 2026	Deportivo Pereira(home)	0-0	Primera A
Jul 26, 2026	Alianza Valledupar(away)	1-1	Primera A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Águilas Doradas win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Fortaleza FC win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 19, 2026	Fortaleza FC 2-0 Águilas Doradas	Primera A
Aug 4, 2025	Águilas Doradas 2-2 Fortaleza FC	Primera A
Feb 18, 2025	Fortaleza FC 2-1 Águilas Doradas	Primera A
Nov 15, 2024	Fortaleza FC 0-1 Águilas Doradas	Primera A
Apr 28, 2024	Águilas Doradas 1-1 Fortaleza FC	Primera A
Jul 9, 2016	Fortaleza FC 2-1 Águilas Doradas	Primera A

Last archived meeting: Fortaleza FC vs Águilas Doradas on Apr 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Águilas Doradas score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Fortaleza FC score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Águilas Doradas	1.4	1.4	2	11/15	9/15
Fortaleza FC	1.2	1.1	4	9/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Águilas Doradas sit 12th in Primera A (26 points from 19 matches) and Fortaleza FC sit 15th (22 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Águilas Doradas	4	2	2	0	6	4	8
12	Águilas Doradas	19	7	5	7	20	25	26
12	Águilas Doradas	19	7	5	7	20	25	26
13	Fortaleza FC	5	1	2	2	5	6	5
15	Fortaleza FC	19	5	7	7	22	27	22
15	Fortaleza FC	19	5	7	7	22	27	22

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Águilas Doradas vs Fortaleza FC?: The Footlab model makes Águilas Doradas the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Fortaleza FC.
Where and when is Águilas Doradas vs Fortaleza FC played?: Águilas Doradas vs Fortaleza FC is played on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Alberto Grisales, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.