Llaneros vs Junior: prediction and stats
Primera AClausura - 17Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Bello Horizonte - Rey Pelé, Villavicencio
The Footlab model makes Llaneros the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Junior. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Llaneros vs Junior?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Llaneros (1,720) and Junior (1,787).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Llaneros have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Junior have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Deportivo Pasto(away) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Águilas Doradas(away) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Fortaleza FC(home) | 3-1 | Primera A |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Bucaramanga(away) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Deportivo Pereira(home) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Once Caldas(home) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Millonarios(home) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Barranquilla(away) | 3-3 | Copa Colombia |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Deportes Tolima(away) | 1-2 | Primera A |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Barranquilla(home) | 2-2 | Copa Colombia |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Llaneros win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Junior win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Junior 2-0 Llaneros | Primera A |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Junior 4-0 Llaneros | Primera A |
| Mar 17, 2025 | Llaneros 0-1 Junior | Primera A |
How many goals should we expect?
Llaneros score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Junior score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llaneros | 1.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Junior | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Llaneros sit 14th in Primera A (22 points from 19 matches) and Junior sit 2nd (35 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 35 |
| 2 | Junior | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 44 |
| 2 | Llaneros | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 11 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 20 | 22 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 20 | 22 |
| 18 | Junior | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Llaneros vs Junior?
- The Footlab model makes Llaneros the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Junior.
- Where and when is Llaneros vs Junior played?
- Llaneros vs Junior is played on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Bello Horizonte - Rey Pelé, in the Primera A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 1, 2026MillonariosvsAmerica de Cali
- Nov 1, 2026Deportivo PastovsJaguares
- Nov 1, 2026Deportivo CalivsChico
- Nov 1, 2026Independiente MedellinvsAlianza Valledupar
- Nov 1, 2026BucaramangavsAtletico Nacional
- Nov 1, 2026Internacional de BogotavsOnce Caldas
- Nov 1, 2026Águilas DoradasvsFortaleza FC
- Nov 1, 2026Deportivo PereiravsDeportes Tolima