Cucuta vs Santa Fe: prediction and stats
Primera AClausura - 17Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio General Santander, Cúcuta
The Footlab AI model makes Santa Fe the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Cucuta. The most likely score is 1-1. If Santa Fe wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cucuta vs Santa Fe?
Santa Fe starts as the favourite with a 200-point Elo edge (1,844 vs 1,644).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cucuta vs Santa Fe
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cucuta
4-3-3- 11G. Torres
- 9J. Peralta
- 20D. Gelvez
- 5V. Mejía
- 77Neneco
- 10L. Berdugo
- 4J. Quiñónes
- 30B. Montaño
- 2H. Lópes
- 26Y. Abonía
- 12F. Abadía
Santa Fe
4-4-1-1- 19N. Bustos
- 16D. Torres
- 9F. Fagúndez
- 10A. Zapata
- 7J. Torres
- 77J. Obrian
- 13H. Palacios
- 3V. Moreno
- 32C. Mafla
- 18E. Olivera
- 1A. Mosquera
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 06:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cucuta have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Santa Fe have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Chico(away) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Deportivo Pereira(home) | 4-0 | Primera A |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Llaneros(home) | 2-1 | Primera A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Deportivo Cali(away) | 0-3 | Primera A |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Millonarios(home) | 1-2 | Primera A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Fortaleza FC(home) | 2-2 | Copa Colombia |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Independiente Medellin(away) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Deportivo Pereira(away) | 2-1 | Primera A |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Union Magdalena(away) | 1-1 | Copa Colombia |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Deportivo Cali(home) | 0-1 | Primera A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Cucuta wins, 0 draws, 2 Santa Fe wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Santa Fe 5-0 Cucuta | Primera A |
| Oct 2, 2020 | Cucuta 2-3 Santa Fe | Primera A |
| Jul 20, 2019 | Cucuta 1-0 Santa Fe | Primera A |
| Jan 30, 2019 | Santa Fe 1-2 Cucuta | Primera A |
How many goals should we expect?
Cucuta score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Santa Fe score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cucuta | 1.1 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Santa Fe | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cucuta sit 9th in Primera A (18 points from 13 matches) and Santa Fe sit 6th (22 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Santa Fe | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 22 |
| 9 | Cucuta | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 19 | 18 |
A question about Cucuta vs Santa Fe?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cucuta vs Santa Fe?
- The Footlab AI model makes Santa Fe the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Cucuta.
- Where and when is Cucuta vs Santa Fe played?
- Cucuta vs Santa Fe is played on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio General Santander, in the Primera A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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