Match

Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 17Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Hernán Ramírez Villegas, Pereira

Deportivo PereiraDeportes Tolima

The Footlab model makes Deportes Tolima the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Deportivo Pereira. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima?

Deportes Tolima starts as the favourite with a 189-point Elo edge (1,803 vs 1,614).

Deportivo Pereira win25 %
Draw29 %
Deportes Tolima win46 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Pereira have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Deportes Tolima have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Deportivo Pereira
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Alianza Valledupar(away)0-0Primera A
Aug 1, 2026Fortaleza FC(away)0-0Primera A
Jul 24, 2026Llaneros(away)0-1Primera A
May 26, 2026Jaguares(home)1-0Copa Colombia
May 21, 2026Águilas Doradas(away)1-1Copa Colombia
Deportes Tolima
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Independiente del Valle(away)1-3CONMEBOL Libertadores
Aug 22, 2026Bucaramanga(home)0-0Primera A
Aug 19, 2026Independiente del Valle(home)0-1CONMEBOL Libertadores
Aug 8, 2026Internacional de Bogota(home)2-1Primera A
Aug 4, 2026Independiente Medellin(home)2-3Primera A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Deportivo Pereira win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Deportes Tolima win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Deportes Tolima 2-0 Deportivo PereiraPrimera A
Jul 25, 2025Deportes Tolima 1-0 Deportivo PereiraPrimera A
Feb 14, 2025Deportivo Pereira 0-0 Deportes TolimaPrimera A
Oct 8, 2024Deportivo Pereira 1-0 Deportes TolimaPrimera A
Mar 23, 2024Deportes Tolima 2-1 Deportivo PereiraPrimera A
Sep 6, 2023Deportes Tolima 2-3 Deportivo PereiraPrimera A

Last archived meeting: Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pereira on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Deportivo Pereira score 0.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Deportes Tolima score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Deportivo Pereira0.60.964/152/15
Deportes Tolima1.11.348/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Deportivo Pereira sit 20th in Primera A (10 points from 19 matches) and Deportes Tolima sit 6th (31 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Deportes Tolima53118610
3Deportes Tolima231076312137
6Deportes Tolima19874271731
16Deportivo Pereira3021012
20Deportivo Pereira191711153210
20Deportivo Pereira191711153210

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima?
The Footlab model makes Deportes Tolima the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Deportivo Pereira.
Where and when is Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima played?
Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima is played on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Hernán Ramírez Villegas, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Deportivo Pereira and Deportes Tolima

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