Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima: prediction and stats
Primera AClausura - 17Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Hernán Ramírez Villegas, Pereira
The Footlab model makes Deportes Tolima the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Deportivo Pereira. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima?
Deportes Tolima starts as the favourite with a 189-point Elo edge (1,803 vs 1,614).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Pereira have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Deportes Tolima have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Alianza Valledupar(away) | 0-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Fortaleza FC(away) | 0-0 | Primera A |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Llaneros(away) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| May 26, 2026 | Jaguares(home) | 1-0 | Copa Colombia |
| May 21, 2026 | Águilas Doradas(away) | 1-1 | Copa Colombia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Independiente del Valle(away) | 1-3 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bucaramanga(home) | 0-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Independiente del Valle(home) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Internacional de Bogota(home) | 2-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Independiente Medellin(home) | 2-3 | Primera A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Deportivo Pereira win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Deportes Tolima win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Deportes Tolima 2-0 Deportivo Pereira | Primera A |
| Jul 25, 2025 | Deportes Tolima 1-0 Deportivo Pereira | Primera A |
| Feb 14, 2025 | Deportivo Pereira 0-0 Deportes Tolima | Primera A |
| Oct 8, 2024 | Deportivo Pereira 1-0 Deportes Tolima | Primera A |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Deportes Tolima 2-1 Deportivo Pereira | Primera A |
| Sep 6, 2023 | Deportes Tolima 2-3 Deportivo Pereira | Primera A |
Last archived meeting: Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pereira on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo Pereira score 0.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Deportes Tolima score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Pereira | 0.6 | 0.9 | 6 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
| Deportes Tolima | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportivo Pereira sit 20th in Primera A (10 points from 19 matches) and Deportes Tolima sit 6th (31 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 21 | 37 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 17 | 31 |
| 16 | Deportivo Pereira | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 32 | 10 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 32 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima?
- The Footlab model makes Deportes Tolima the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Deportivo Pereira.
- Where and when is Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima played?
- Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima is played on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Hernán Ramírez Villegas, in the Primera A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Nov 1, 2026BucaramangavsAtletico Nacional
- Nov 1, 2026Internacional de BogotavsOnce Caldas
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