Where and when is Independiente Medellin vs Alianza Valledupar played?

Independiente Medellin vs Alianza Valledupar is played on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot, in the Primera A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Independiente Medellin vs Alianza Valledupar: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 17Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín

Independiente Medellin

Alianza Valledupar

The Footlab model makes Independiente Medellin the favourite at 57%, against 27% for a draw and 17% for Alianza Valledupar. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Independiente Medellin vs Alianza Valledupar?

Independiente Medellin starts as the favourite with a 162-point Elo edge (1,821 vs 1,659).

Independiente Medellin win57 %

Draw27 %

Alianza Valledupar win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Independiente Medellin have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Alianza Valledupar have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Independiente Medellin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Cucuta(home)	0-1	Primera A
Aug 4, 2026	Deportes Tolima(away)	3-2	Primera A
Aug 1, 2026	Deportivo Cali(home)	1-0	Primera A
Jul 29, 2026	Vasco DA Gama(away)	0-1	CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Jul 25, 2026	Deportivo Pasto(home)	3-2	Primera A

Alianza Valledupar
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Deportivo Pereira(home)	0-0	Primera A
Aug 9, 2026	Bucaramanga(home)	2-3	Primera A
Aug 1, 2026	Deportes Tolima(home)	1-2	Primera A
Jul 26, 2026	Fortaleza FC(home)	1-1	Primera A
May 24, 2026	Bucaramanga(home)	2-1	Copa Colombia

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Independiente Medellin win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Alianza Valledupar win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 19, 2026	Alianza Valledupar 0-1 Independiente Medellin	Primera A
Jul 13, 2025	Independiente Medellin 1-1 Alianza Valledupar	Primera A
Jan 27, 2025	Alianza Valledupar 1-1 Independiente Medellin	Primera A
Oct 10, 2024	Independiente Medellin 2-0 Alianza Valledupar	Primera A
Feb 24, 2024	Alianza Valledupar 2-0 Independiente Medellin	Primera A
Aug 20, 2023	Independiente Medellin 2-1 Alianza Valledupar	Primera A

Last archived meeting: Alianza Valledupar vs Independiente Medellin on Apr 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Independiente Medellin score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Alianza Valledupar score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Independiente Medellin	1.3	1.1	4	8/15	6/15
Alianza Valledupar	1.1	1.1	4	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Independiente Medellin sit 11th in Primera A (26 points from 19 matches) and Alianza Valledupar sit 17th (17 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Independiente Medellin	4	3	0	1	7	5	9
11	Independiente Medellin	19	7	5	7	26	24	26
11	Independiente Medellin	19	7	5	7	26	24	26
17	Alianza Valledupar	19	3	8	8	13	27	17
17	Alianza Valledupar	4	0	2	2	4	6	2
17	Alianza Valledupar	19	3	8	8	13	27	17

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Independiente Medellin vs Alianza Valledupar?: The Footlab model makes Independiente Medellin the favourite at 57%, against 27% for a draw and 17% for Alianza Valledupar.
Where and when is Independiente Medellin vs Alianza Valledupar played?: Independiente Medellin vs Alianza Valledupar is played on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.