Where and when is Bucaramanga vs Atletico Nacional played?

Bucaramanga vs Atletico Nacional is played on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Américo Montanini, in the Primera A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Bucaramanga vs Atletico Nacional: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 17Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Américo Montanini, Bucaramanga

Bucaramanga

Atletico Nacional

The Footlab model makes Atletico Nacional the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Bucaramanga. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bucaramanga vs Atletico Nacional?

Atletico Nacional starts as the favourite with a 176-point Elo edge (1,916 vs 1,740).

Bucaramanga win30 %

Draw30 %

Atletico Nacional win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bucaramanga have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Atletico Nacional have 11, 0 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bucaramanga
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Deportes Tolima(away)	0-0	Primera A
Aug 9, 2026	Alianza Valledupar(away)	3-2	Primera A
Aug 4, 2026	Cucuta(home)	1-1	Primera A
Jul 31, 2026	Llaneros(home)	1-1	Primera A
Jul 25, 2026	Millonarios(away)	1-0	Primera A

Atletico Nacional
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Fortaleza FC(away)	2-1	Primera A
Aug 10, 2026	America de Cali(away)	0-1	Primera A
Aug 2, 2026	Jaguares(away)	3-0	Primera A
Jul 29, 2026	Tigres FC(away)	2-0	Copa Colombia
Jul 21, 2026	Tigres FC(home)	2-0	Copa Colombia

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bucaramanga win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Atletico Nacional win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 21, 2026	Atletico Nacional 2-0 Bucaramanga	Primera A
Mar 29, 2025	Bucaramanga 2-0 Atletico Nacional	Primera A
Feb 7, 2025	Bucaramanga 0-0 Atletico Nacional	Superliga
Jan 30, 2025	Atletico Nacional 1-1 Bucaramanga	Superliga
Sep 24, 2024	Bucaramanga 1-0 Atletico Nacional	Primera A
Mar 10, 2024	Atletico Nacional 0-0 Bucaramanga	Primera A

Last archived meeting: Atletico Nacional vs Bucaramanga on Apr 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bucaramanga score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Nacional score 1.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Bucaramanga	1.5	1.4	4	8/15	8/15
Atletico Nacional	1.9	0.8	6	5/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bucaramanga sit 13th in Primera A (23 points from 19 matches) and Atletico Nacional sit 1st (40 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Atletico Nacional	19	13	1	5	35	15	40
1	Atletico Nacional	25	18	1	6	49	21	55
5	Bucaramanga	5	2	3	0	6	4	9
10	Atletico Nacional	3	2	0	1	5	2	6
13	Bucaramanga	19	5	8	6	26	20	23
13	Bucaramanga	19	5	8	6	26	20	23

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bucaramanga vs Atletico Nacional?: The Footlab model makes Atletico Nacional the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Bucaramanga.
Where and when is Bucaramanga vs Atletico Nacional played?: Bucaramanga vs Atletico Nacional is played on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Américo Montanini, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.