Deportivo Cali vs Chico: prediction and stats
Primera AClausura - 17Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Deportivo Cali, Palmira
The Footlab model makes Deportivo Cali the favourite at 64%, against 24% for a draw and 12% for Chico. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportivo Cali vs Chico?
Deportivo Cali starts as the favourite with a 162-point Elo edge (1,743 vs 1,582).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Cali have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Chico have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Internacional de Bogota(home) | 2-2 | Primera A |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Deportivo Pasto(away) | 2-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Independiente Medellin(away) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Jaguares(home) | 2-0 | Primera A |
| May 24, 2026 | Real Santander(away) | 2-1 | Copa Colombia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Jaguares(away) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Santa Fe(away) | 0-2 | Primera A |
| Aug 2, 2026 | America de Cali(away) | 0-7 | Primera A |
| May 27, 2026 | Llaneros(home) | 0-1 | Copa Colombia |
| May 23, 2026 | Millonarios(away) | 2-2 | Copa Colombia |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Deportivo Cali win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Chico win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | Chico 1-0 Deportivo Cali | Primera A |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Chico 0-0 Deportivo Cali | Primera A |
| Jun 14, 2025 | Chico 1-0 Deportivo Cali | Copa Colombia |
| Mar 10, 2025 | Deportivo Cali 0-0 Chico | Primera A |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Chico 1-0 Deportivo Cali | Primera A |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Deportivo Cali 4-0 Chico | Primera A |
Last archived meeting: Chico vs Deportivo Cali on Apr 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo Cali score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Chico score 0.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Cali | 1.5 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Chico | 0.8 | 1.7 | 5 | 2/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportivo Cali sit 9th in Primera A (27 points from 19 matches) and Chico sit 18th (17 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Deportivo Cali | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 16 | 27 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 16 | 27 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 17 |
| 20 | Chico | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportivo Cali vs Chico?
- The Footlab model makes Deportivo Cali the favourite at 64%, against 24% for a draw and 12% for Chico.
- Where and when is Deportivo Cali vs Chico played?
- Deportivo Cali vs Chico is played on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Deportivo Cali, in the Primera A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 1, 2026MillonariosvsAmerica de Cali
- Nov 1, 2026Deportivo PastovsJaguares
- Nov 1, 2026Independiente MedellinvsAlianza Valledupar
- Nov 1, 2026BucaramangavsAtletico Nacional
- Nov 1, 2026Internacional de BogotavsOnce Caldas
- Nov 1, 2026Águilas DoradasvsFortaleza FC
- Nov 1, 2026Deportivo PereiravsDeportes Tolima
- Nov 1, 2026LlanerosvsJunior