Águilas II vs SFC Minerva: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 23Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Rubial, Águilas
The Footlab model makes Águilas II the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for SFC Minerva. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Águilas II vs SFC Minerva?
Águilas II starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (1,824 vs 1,697).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Águilas II have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; SFC Minerva have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | UCAM Murcia II(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | El Palmar(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Unión Molinense(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | El Palmar(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Unión Molinense(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Santa Cruz(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Santomera(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Águilas II win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 SFC Minerva win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Águilas II 2-4 SFC Minerva | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | SFC Minerva 0-0 Águilas II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 20, 2025 | SFC Minerva 0-1 Águilas II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Águilas II 0-1 SFC Minerva | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Águilas II vs SFC Minerva on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Águilas II score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; SFC Minerva score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Águilas II | 1.6 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| SFC Minerva | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Águilas II sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (52 points from 34 matches) and SFC Minerva sit 10th (44 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Águilas II | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 47 | 42 | 52 |
| 10 | SFC Minerva | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 28 | 39 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Águilas II vs SFC Minerva?
- The Footlab model makes Águilas II the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for SFC Minerva.
- Where and when is Águilas II vs SFC Minerva played?
- Águilas II vs SFC Minerva is played on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Rubial, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 21, 2027El PalmarvsSanta Cruz
- Feb 21, 2027Atlético PulpileñovsBala Azul
- Feb 21, 2027Mazarrón FCvsUCAM Murcia II
- Feb 21, 2027Olímpico TotanavsLos Garres
- Feb 21, 2027Cartagena LU IIvsBullas Deportivo
- Feb 21, 2027AlcantarillavsUnión Molinense
- Feb 21, 2027Balsicas AtléticovsSantomera
- Feb 21, 2027San JaviervsAlgar