Alcantarilla vs Unión Molinense: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 23Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Polideportivo Municipal Ángel Sornichero, Alcantarilla
The Footlab AI model makes Unión Molinense the favourite at 41%, against 31% for a draw and 28% for Alcantarilla. The most likely score is 1-1. If Unión Molinense wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,608 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alcantarilla vs Unión Molinense?
Unión Molinense starts as the favourite with a 212-point Elo edge (1,838 vs 1,626).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Alcantarilla vs Unión Molinense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Alcantarilla
4-3-3- 19Bruno Tomás
- JJuan López
- LLuis Hueva
- NNico Varela
- GGonzalo Rodríguez
- PPedro López
- TTekio
- MMigue Marín
- SSalvi
- LLuis Manzanera
- 13Antonio Gallego
Unión Molinense
Not enough data to predict the Unión Molinense lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 05:28 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alcantarilla have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Unión Molinense have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Unión Molinense(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Santa Cruz(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Bala Azul(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Águilas II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alcantarilla(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Águilas II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | San Javier(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Alcantarilla win, 1 draw, 4 Unión Molinense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Unión Molinense 3-0 Alcantarilla | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Unión Molinense 3-0 Alcantarilla | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Alcantarilla 1-1 Unión Molinense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Unión Molinense 3-0 Alcantarilla | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Alcantarilla 1-0 Unión Molinense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Unión Molinense 7-0 Alcantarilla | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Unión Molinense vs Alcantarilla on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Alcantarilla score 0.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Unión Molinense score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alcantarilla | 0.7 | 1.2 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Unión Molinense | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alcantarilla sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (9 points from 6 matches) and Unión Molinense sit 3rd (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Unión Molinense | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 11 |
| 5 | Alcantarilla | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 9 |
A question about Alcantarilla vs Unión Molinense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alcantarilla vs Unión Molinense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Unión Molinense the favourite at 41%, against 31% for a draw and 28% for Alcantarilla.
- Where and when is Alcantarilla vs Unión Molinense played?
- Alcantarilla vs Unión Molinense is played on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Polideportivo Municipal Ángel Sornichero, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 21, 2027El PalmarvsSanta Cruz
- Feb 21, 2027Atlético PulpileñovsBala Azul
- Feb 21, 2027Mazarrón FCvsUCAM Murcia II
- Feb 21, 2027Olímpico TotanavsLos Garres
- Feb 21, 2027Cartagena LU IIvsBullas Deportivo
- Feb 21, 2027Balsicas AtléticovsSantomera
- Feb 21, 2027Águilas IIvsSFC Minerva
- Feb 21, 2027San JaviervsAlgar