Where and when is SFC Minerva vs Alcantarilla played?

SFC Minerva vs Alcantarilla is played on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal El Secante, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

SFC Minerva vs Alcantarilla: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 24Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal El Secante, Alumbres

SFC Minerva

Alcantarilla

The Footlab model makes SFC Minerva the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Alcantarilla. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SFC Minerva vs Alcantarilla?

SFC Minerva starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,697 vs 1,594).

SFC Minerva win45 %

Draw29 %

Alcantarilla win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SFC Minerva have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Alcantarilla have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SFC Minerva
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	El Palmar(home)	3-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 3, 2026	Balsicas Atlético(away)	0-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 26, 2026	Unión Molinense(home)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 18, 2026	Santa Cruz(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 12, 2026	Santomera(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Alcantarilla
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 11, 2025	Atlético Pulpileño(away)	0-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 4, 2025	Águilas II(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 27, 2025	Lorca Deportiva(away)	0-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 20, 2025	Santomera(home)	1-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 13, 2025	UCAM Murcia II(away)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 SFC Minerva win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Alcantarilla win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 9, 2025	SFC Minerva 0-1 Alcantarilla	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Sep 28, 2024	Alcantarilla 0-2 SFC Minerva	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Last archived meeting: SFC Minerva vs Alcantarilla on Feb 9, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

SFC Minerva score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Alcantarilla score 0.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
SFC Minerva	0.9	1.3	5	4/15	6/15
Alcantarilla	0.5	1.6	6	4/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	SFC Minerva	34	11	11	12	28	39	44

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SFC Minerva vs Alcantarilla?: The Footlab model makes SFC Minerva the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Alcantarilla.
Where and when is SFC Minerva vs Alcantarilla played?: SFC Minerva vs Alcantarilla is played on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal El Secante, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.