Balsicas Atlético vs Santomera: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 23Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol de Balsicas, Torre-Pacheco
The Footlab model makes Balsicas Atlético the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Santomera. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Balsicas Atlético vs Santomera?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Balsicas Atlético (1,699) and Santomera (1,687).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Balsicas Atlético have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Santomera have 4, 0 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Yeclano II(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | SFC Minerva(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Águilas II(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | UCAM Murcia II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cieza(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 2, 2026 | Cartagena LU II(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Real Murcia II(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Yeclano II(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Balsicas Atlético win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Santomera win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético 2-1 Santomera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Santomera 0-1 Balsicas Atlético | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Balsicas Atlético 1-4 Santomera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Santomera 3-2 Balsicas Atlético | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Balsicas Atlético vs Santomera on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Balsicas Atlético score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Santomera score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balsicas Atlético | 0.9 | 1.0 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Santomera | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Balsicas Atlético sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (36 points from 34 matches) and Santomera sit 15th (32 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Balsicas Atlético | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 38 | 46 | 36 |
| 15 | Santomera | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 38 | 64 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Balsicas Atlético vs Santomera?
- The Footlab model makes Balsicas Atlético the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Santomera.
- Where and when is Balsicas Atlético vs Santomera played?
- Balsicas Atlético vs Santomera is played on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol de Balsicas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 21, 2027El PalmarvsSanta Cruz
- Feb 21, 2027Atlético PulpileñovsBala Azul
- Feb 21, 2027Mazarrón FCvsUCAM Murcia II
- Feb 21, 2027Olímpico TotanavsLos Garres
- Feb 21, 2027Cartagena LU IIvsBullas Deportivo
- Feb 21, 2027AlcantarillavsUnión Molinense
- Feb 21, 2027Águilas IIvsSFC Minerva
- Feb 21, 2027San JaviervsAlgar