Balsicas Atlético vs Santomera: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 23Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol de Balsicas, Torre-Pacheco
The Footlab AI model makes Santomera the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Balsicas Atlético. The most likely score is 1-1. If Santomera wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,541 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Balsicas Atlético vs Santomera?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Balsicas Atlético (1,679) and Santomera (1,749).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Balsicas Atlético vs Santomera
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Balsicas Atlético
Not enough data to predict the Balsicas Atlético lineup.
Santomera
Not enough data to predict the Santomera lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 12:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Balsicas Atlético have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Santomera have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Bullas Deportivo(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Santomera(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Algar(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Los Garres(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | UCAM Murcia II(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Bullas Deportivo(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Algar(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Los Garres(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Balsicas Atlético wins, 0 draws, 3 Santomera wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Santomera 3-0 Balsicas Atlético | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético 2-1 Santomera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Santomera 0-1 Balsicas Atlético | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Balsicas Atlético 1-4 Santomera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Santomera 3-2 Balsicas Atlético | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Santomera vs Balsicas Atlético on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Balsicas Atlético score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Santomera score 1.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balsicas Atlético | 1.1 | 1.2 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Santomera | 1.8 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Balsicas Atlético sit 15th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (6 points from 6 matches) and Santomera sit 1st (16 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santomera | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 16 |
| 15 | Balsicas Atlético | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
A question about Balsicas Atlético vs Santomera?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Balsicas Atlético vs Santomera?
- The Footlab AI model makes Santomera the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Balsicas Atlético.
- Where and when is Balsicas Atlético vs Santomera played?
- Balsicas Atlético vs Santomera is played on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol de Balsicas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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