Águilas vs Real Murcia: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 29Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Rubial, Águilas
The Footlab AI model makes Real Murcia the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Águilas. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Murcia wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.4% of the 3,651 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Águilas vs Real Murcia?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Águilas (1,938) and Real Murcia (1,970).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Águilas vs Real Murcia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Águilas
4-3-3- 11Josema Raigal
- 19G. Serrano Iranzo
- 10Javi Castedo
- 8Mario Abenza
- 6Y. El Arbaoui
- 5A. Perez
- 3José Mas
- 2Johan Terranova
- 4Antonio Sánchez
- 23H. Martinez
- 13Jose Salcedo
Real Murcia
4-3-3- 19Joel Jorquera
- 23D. Flakus Bosilj
- 17Javi Moreno
- 8Javi Mier
- 14Palmberg
- 10Chema Núñez
- 2Jorge Mier
- 15Óscar Gil
- 3Cristo
- 4H. Perez
- 13Dani Jiménez
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 01:49 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Águilas have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Real Murcia have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Teruel(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ibiza(home) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Huesca(home) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC Cartagena(away) | 1-4 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Hércules(home) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Juventud Torremolinos(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Zaragoza(home) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | FC Cartagena(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Gimnastic(home) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Águilas win, 1 draw, 3 Real Murcia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2024 | Águilas 3-0 Real Murcia | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Águilas 1-2 Real Murcia | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 31, 2022 | Águilas 2-2 Real Murcia | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 1, 2022 | Real Murcia 1-0 Águilas | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Dec 12, 2021 | Águilas 1-2 Real Murcia | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Águilas vs Real Murcia on Aug 10, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Águilas score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Real Murcia score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Águilas | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Real Murcia | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Águilas sit 17th in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (7 points from 9 matches) and Real Murcia sit 4th (16 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Real Murcia | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 16 |
| 17 | Águilas | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 7 |
A question about Águilas vs Real Murcia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Águilas vs Real Murcia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Real Murcia the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Águilas.
- Where and when is Águilas vs Real Murcia played?
- Águilas vs Real Murcia is played on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Rubial, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.