Match

Ibiza vs Real Jaén: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 29Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Can Misses – Power Electronic, Ibiza

IbizaReal Jaén

The Footlab AI model makes Ibiza the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Real Jaén. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,618 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ibiza vs Real Jaén?

On Elo ratings, Ibiza has 1,955 points and Real Jaén 1,996.

56%26%18%
Ibiza winDrawReal Jaén win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Ibiza vs Real Jaén

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Ibiza

4-3-3
  1. 9Manu Justo
  2. 10Ander Yoldi
  3. 21José Carlos Lazo
  1. 17T. Valls
  2. 6Josep Calavera
  3. 20Pedro Ortiz
  1. 18David Astals
  2. 3Víctor García
  3. 4J. Blasco
  4. 24Erik Ruiz
  1. 1Andrés Prieto

Real Jaén

4-3-3
  1. 11Mario Martos
  2. 9Marco Siverio
  3. 19M. Keita
  1. 8Antonio Caballero
  2. 6Jose Alvarez
  3. 10Paz Adri
  1. 21Mohamed Sanhaji
  2. 3D. Serrano
  3. 4J. Pol
  4. 24Alejandro Cea
  1. 1J. Morillas

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 08:59 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ibiza have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Real Jaén have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ibiza
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Águilas(away)2-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 9, 2026Real Madrid II(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 4, 2026Villarreal II(away)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Sep 25, 2026Zaragoza(home)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Sep 19, 2026Real Jaén(away)1-2Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Real Jaén
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Villarreal II(home)3-3Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 3, 2026Hércules(away)0-0Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Sep 27, 2026Antequera(away)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Sep 19, 2026Ibiza(home)2-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Sep 12, 2026Teruel(away)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 0 Ibiza wins, 0 draws, 1 Real Jaén win.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 19, 2026Real Jaén 2-1 IbizaPrimera División RFEF - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Real Jaén vs Ibiza on Sep 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ibiza score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Real Jaén score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ibiza1.81.168/159/15
Real Jaén1.51.1410/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ibiza sit 6th in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (13 points from 8 matches) and Real Jaén sit 8th (12 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Ibiza8413111013
8Real Jaén733111812

A question about Ibiza vs Real Jaén?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ibiza vs Real Jaén?
The Footlab AI model makes Ibiza the favourite at 56%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Real Jaén.
Where and when is Ibiza vs Real Jaén played?
Ibiza vs Real Jaén is played on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Can Misses – Power Electronic, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Ibiza and Real Jaén

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