Al Hilal Omdurman vs Aigle Noir: prediction and stats
CAF Champions LeagueSemi-finalsKick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Al-Hilal Stadium, Omdurman (Umm Durman)
The Footlab model makes Al Hilal Omdurman the favourite at 62%, against 25% for a draw and 12% for Aigle Noir. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Hilal Omdurman vs Aigle Noir?
Al Hilal Omdurman starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,857 vs 1,735).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Hilal Omdurman have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Aigle Noir have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Jamus(away) | 2-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | GOR Mahia(away) | 1-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rayon Sports(home) | 0-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Jul 29, 2026 | KVZ(away) | 4-0 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Tusker(home) | 2-0 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Flambeau du Centre(away) | 1-1 | Ligue A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Olympic Star(home) | 3-1 | Ligue A |
| May 9, 2026 | Garage Express(home) | 1-0 | Ligue A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Royal Vision(away) | 1-2 | Ligue A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Dynamik(home) | 1-0 | Ligue A |
How many goals should we expect?
Al Hilal Omdurman score 1.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Aigle Noir score 1.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Hilal Omdurman | 1.8 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Aigle Noir | 1.6 | 0.9 | 4 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Hilal Omdurman | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Hilal Omdurman vs Aigle Noir?
- The Footlab model makes Al Hilal Omdurman the favourite at 62%, against 25% for a draw and 12% for Aigle Noir.
- Where and when is Al Hilal Omdurman vs Aigle Noir played?
- Al Hilal Omdurman vs Aigle Noir is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Al-Hilal Stadium, in the CAF Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.