JS Saoura vs Horoya: prediction and stats
CAF Champions LeagueSemi-finalsKick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade du 20 Août 1955, Bechar
The Footlab model makes JS Saoura the favourite at 65%, against 25% for a draw and 11% for Horoya. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win JS Saoura vs Horoya?
JS Saoura starts as the favourite with a 183-point Elo edge (1,951 vs 1,768).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, JS Saoura have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Horoya have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 2026 | CS Constantine(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 20, 2026 | El Bayadh(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 12, 2026 | CR Belouizdad(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 7, 2026 | Mostaganem(away) | 4-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Khenchela(home) | 3-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | CI Kamsar(away) | 0-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Wakirya(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Hafia(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Ashanti GB(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Milo(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
JS Saoura score 1.4 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Horoya score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JS Saoura | 1.4 | 0.4 | 9 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Horoya | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for JS Saoura vs Horoya?
- The Footlab model makes JS Saoura the favourite at 65%, against 25% for a draw and 11% for Horoya.
- Where and when is JS Saoura vs Horoya played?
- JS Saoura vs Horoya is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade du 20 Août 1955, in the CAF Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.